I've had a chance to revisit the earlier model of photon transmission from the E-Cat through various media and incorporate some new features. Now decay half-lives and detector efficiency are factored in. Here is what I'm seeing for 1cm of nickel:
Photons from a total of 7e+14 transitions per second, escaping through 1cm of Nickel: transition channel escaping_photons 6150ADb_detected_photons 0 58Ni(d,p)59Ni bremsstrahlung 7.64e-258 2.96e-260 1 58Ni(d,p)59Ni β-β+ annihilation 3.91e+01 1.52e-01 2 61Ni(d,p)62Ni bremsstrahlung 2.65e-110 1.03e-112 3 64Ni(d,p)65Ni bremsstrahlung 0.00e+00 0.00e+00 4 58Ni(p,ɣ)59Cu gamma 9.37e+10 3.64e+08 5 60Ni(p,ɣ)61Cu β-β+ annihilation 4.30e+06 1.67e+04 6 60Ni(p,ɣ)61Cu gamma 5.63e+10 2.19e+08 7 61Ni(p,α)58Co β- deexcitation gamma 9.16e+09 3.56e+07 8 61Ni(p,α)58Co β-β+ annihilation 1.08e+04 4.21e+01 9 61Ni(p,ɣ)62Cu gamma 3.97e+09 1.54e+07 10 62Ni(p,ɣ)63Cu gamma 3.03e+10 1.18e+08 11 64Ni(p,ɣ)65Cu gamma 4.35e+09 1.69e+07 12 d(p,ɣ)3He gamma 2.39e+07 9.27e+04 What is interesting for this particular model (photon transmission through 1cm of nickel) is that reaction channels (0)-(3), which are the deuteron capture reactions, are either not detected or barely detected (keep in mind there was a layer of lead shielding the E-Cat at one point). The model is crude and is probably doing some things very wrong. But as a back-of-the-envelope calculation, I tentatively conclude the following: - Nickel deuteron capture reactions can potentially go undetected, even when 10^14 events are occurring (on the order of the number of 10 MeV fusion reactions that would be needed to account for 700 W excess power). - A model that attempts to stop gammas in flight somehow is in for difficulties (as we already knew), for they will readily pass through almost any metal wall or shielding that we've heard about in connection with the E-Cat. Something is making the gammas go away. This may or may not mean that channels 4-12 are being suppressed; if they are not being suppressed, an explanation for the near-100 percent efficient fractionation of the energy will be needed. - Reaction channel (1) will be a headache to deal with if it is occurring. (This arises from a beta+ decay with a long half life.) The "escaping_photons" column provides the number of photons that pass through 1cm of nickel in 1 second. The "6150ADb_detected_photons" are the number of photons that are picked up by a ~ 10cm diameter 6150AD-b scintillation detector held 20cm away from the reactor, as described in the Penon report [1, 2]. The code that was used to generate this and other models is available here: https://github.com/emwalker/lenrmc Other tables are here [3]. Bob (Higgins), I haven't yet incorporated the 2N reactions, but it would be nice to incorporate them somehow. Eric [1] http://pesn.com/2012/09/09/9602178_Rossi_Reports_Third-Party_Test_Results_from_Hot_Cat/105322688-Penon4-1.pdf [2] http://www.automess.de/Download/Prospekt_ADb_E.pdf [3] https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BzKtdce19-wyYUFNaS1vZktyYVU/edit?usp=sharing