* Carlos Friaças via address-policy-wg > > On Tue, 5 Feb 2019, Tore Anderson wrote: > >> - I don't quite believe that the waiting list would grow indefinitely >> (regardless of the allocation size being /22 or /24). Keep in mind >> that only new and IPv4-less LIRs would be able to join the waiting >> list. Once it is known that simply joining the NCC won't guarantee >> a /22, but that you'd have to wait for one with no certainty as to >> how long, I expect that the sign-up rate of new LIRs will drop >> dramatically (and by extension the amount of LIRs queuing up in the >> waiting list). > > If getting a /24 is still cheaper than getting a /24 from "the market", > people will queue up, because there will be still a bit of profit...
Except that you wouldn't be able to know the price in advance and compare it to market price, because you simply don't know how long you'll have to wait in line (while paying full membership fees from day one). This uncertainty will certainly also discourage LIRs from signing up as member just to get IPv4 - regardless of the economics. Say, if you need IPv4 to deliver a project due in six months, then getting it from the market will be the only way that would give you sufficient certainty that you can deliver on time. Tore
