Internet is a commodity.  I think what sells is marketing and price.  People 
don't understand or care about the technology.  The marketing guys try to 
package technology as sizzle that people will pay for, they are scrambling to 
do that with 5G.

Yes, Tesla can sell technology, but they're not selling a commodity to a mass 
market.

If the intent is to compete with the major ISPs in the US, rather than bring 
Internet to the third world, I think it comes down to how will they market it, 
and what will it cost.  Does Musk plan on using channel partners like maybe 
DISH or rural telcos?  Resellers?  Direct to consumers?  The point where I 
consider it a real threat is when they partner with someone who already has a 
huge customer base they can sell this to, and then if they make the price 
compelling.


-----Original Message-----
From: AF <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Bill Prince
Sent: Sunday, May 12, 2019 11:35 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Real threat

Well. More details. The planned launch on Wednesday will contain 60 Starlink 
version 0.9 satellites. That's the upper end of what was hinted at earlier.

https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-starlink-satellites-tease-revolutionary-design/


bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 5/9/2019 2:28 PM, Robert Andrews wrote:
> Phased array lasers?  or more properly Optical phased array 
> transmitter...
>
> On 05/09/2019 02:19 PM, [email protected] wrote:
>> These are the guys the landed a rocket ship on its tail feathers on a 
>> tiny barge in open ocean...
>> They can obviously do difficult things.
>> *From:* Adam Moffett
>> *Sent:* Thursday, May 9, 2019 2:56 PM
>> *To:* [email protected]
>> *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] Real threat
>> I got into a discussion on Quora about this the other day.
>>
>> Their FCC filing says they'll use 2000mhz of bandwidth for the 
>> Satellite to User Terminal downlink.  However many satellites they 
>> have, they'll be limited to 2000mhz per geographic area. If we 
>> generously assume 10 bits/hz then that's 20gbps.  That's useful, 
>> especially in rural areas, but it's not enough to replace cable or 
>> fiber like some pundits seem to think
>>
>> Consider the trouble you can have coordinating channels for 50 or 100 
>> stationary towers.  Apply that problem to thousands of moving 
>> satellites.  That's a serious engineering problem in and of itself.
>> Maybe do-able in software, but not easy.
>>
>> A person in the discussion pointed out that if the satellites are 
>> going to use lasers to communicate with each other then they'll have 
>> to keep adjusting alignment on those lasers constantly.  The servo 
>> aiming the laser must apply torque to the satellite which has to be 
>> countered by either propellant or maybe a counter rotating motor on 
>> the other side of the satellite. It wouldn't be a big deal except 
>> they're moving constantly, so that's another big engineering problem.
>>
>> They also have to manage station keeping and maintenance for 7 times 
>> the number of man-made satellites currently in operation for the 
>> whole world.
>>
>> The potential for better rural internet is nice and all, but if they 
>> really get all of this working it's an engineering feat on par with 
>> building the pyramids.
>>
>> -Adam
>>
>>
>> On 5/8/2019 5:09 PM, Bill Prince wrote:
>>>
>>> So we are roughly a week away from seeing how quickly this can scale.
>>>
>>> https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-schedules-starlink-launch-debut/
>>>
>>> bp
>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>
>>> On 4/18/2019 7:42 AM, [email protected] wrote:
>>>> Visible antennas
>>>> Cost per mbps
>>>> Latency
>>>> I will keep my head in the sand.
>>>> *From:* dave
>>>> *Sent:* Thursday, April 18, 2019 8:15 AM
>>>> *To:* [email protected]
>>>> *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] Real threat
>>>> LOL... Yep..
>>>>
>>>> On 4/18/19 9:05 AM, Bill Prince wrote:
>>>>> Well, well, well. Reality may be rearing its ugly head...
>>>>>
>>>>> https://seekingalpha.com/article/4254917-spacex-backtracking-satel
>>>>> lite-internet-puts-future-profits-doubt
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> bp
>>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 4/4/2019 5:21 PM, Ken Hohhof wrote:
>>>>>> Sounds like a job for Space Force.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Actually, I'm a little confused.  Will these LEO sats be 5G? What 
>>>>>> good are they if they aren't 5G?  How are we going to get remote 
>>>>>> surgery and self-driving vehicles without 5G?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I wish these big corporations would make up their minds, do I 
>>>>>> need a small cell 1000 feet away because <reasons>, or do I need 
>>>>>> thousands of satellites whizzing overhead 50 miles up? Seems like 
>>>>>> polar opposites, but apparently we gotta have 'em.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>>> From: AF mailto:[email protected] On Behalf Of Robert 
>>>>>> Andrews
>>>>>> Sent: Thursday, April 4, 2019 7:03 PM
>>>>>> To: [email protected]
>>>>>> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Real threat
>>>>>>
>>>>>> And one more Indian anti-sat test to turn it all into chaff...
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 04/04/2019 04:34 PM, Bill Prince wrote:
>>>>>>> So now in addition to Elon and his thousands of satellites, and 
>>>>>>> OneWeb with their thousands of satellites, we will now add Bezos 
>>>>>>> and another few thousand satellites:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> https://www.reuters.com/article/us-amazon-com-broadband/amazon-p
>>>>>>> lans-t
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> o-launch-over-3000-satellites-to-offer-broadband-internet-idUSKC
>>>>>>> N1RG1Y
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> W
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> bp
>>>>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On 3/20/2019 10:30 AM, Ken Hohhof wrote:
>>>>>>>> Oh, no, Elon will be able to market it to all Tesla owners! And 
>>>>>>>> have kiosks in all the Tesla stores! We're doomed!
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> So I guess what I'm saying is technology doesn't sell, 
>>>>>>>> marketing sells, and it all depends on who they partner with to 
>>>>>>>> actually sell service to end customers. Also of course they are 
>>>>>>>> not the only company doing this. OneWeb for example.  SpaceX 
>>>>>>>> has the advantage of having their own launch service and being 
>>>>>>>> able to piggyback on other payloads.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> *From:* AF mailto:[email protected] *On Behalf Of *Chuck 
>>>>>>>> McCown
>>>>>>>> *Sent:* Wednesday, March 20, 2019 12:09 PM
>>>>>>>> *To:* [email protected]
>>>>>>>> *Subject:* [AFMUG] Real threat
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Or is the sky falling?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> https://www.reddit.com/r/Starlink/comments/7zqm2c/starlink_faq/
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>> --
>>>>>> AF mailing list
>>>>>> [email protected]
>>>>>> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
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>>>
>>
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