Unfortunately one thing I’m finding is that you can’t let customers get behind 
on payments.  We get the ones who won’t sign up for autopay, wait to get shut 
off, then call to make a partial payment, one step forward two steps back.

 

Now imagine they have all the options on your list.  And several of them are 
$30-$40/mo with no upfront cost.  Are you going to make payment arrangements 
with your current ISP, or just switch to one of the other options?

 

Another thing I’m finding is if it comes down to a relative letting them use 
their card for autopay, the relative will instead add a 5G Home Internet box to 
their cellphone plan for mom or grandma or whatever.  I wonder if there will be 
complications from this.  Like service address not same as billing address.

 

Maybe your town of 30K people has less trouble with customers who can’t pay 
their bills, than my very rural area.  I hate to say it, but I kind of miss 
ACP.  It was a pain, but even if a customer didn’t pay their share we at least 
got $30/mo via a single monthly direct deposit.  Things could be worse.  

 

From: AF <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Chuck
Sent: Wednesday, December 10, 2025 1:25 PM
To: [email protected]
Cc: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] price war

 

Near town has:

Century Link fiber

Beehive fiber

Allwest  fiber

Xfinity fiber

Rise Broadband

9 Stone Broadband

Utah Broadband

All the cellular providers 

Starlink 

So more than 10 options.  For 30,000 oeople.

 

 

 

Sent from my iPhone





On Dec 10, 2025, at 10:22 AM, Nate Burke <[email protected] 
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:

 

The ISP list is still growing now though.  The town next to where I live is 
served by 2 Coax providers, Xfinity and Astound.  AT&T with U-Verse over 
copper,  Verizon built 80% of the town with UWB on every 3rd street pole. 
T-Mobile is prevalent, AT&T Wireless has neighborhood repeaters, LUMEN is 
currently building FTTH, and EZFiber just started FTTH construction this week.  
And there are still houses with Starlink.  Those are all big companies, LUMEN 
is a brand of T-Mobile Fiber.  EZFiber I guess is the smallest of the lot.  
Maybe Xfinity would buy Astound.  But doesn't seem like much merging with those 
companies, unless it's something really big.  

So they're all big companies going after the same customers.  

On 12/10/2025 10:51 AM, Steve Jones wrote:

smalls got gobbled up by the bigs. same with cable companies. there are like 25 
small ILECs in il vs like 355 ISPs. in 10 years id be surprised if the ISP 
count is still 3 digits

 

On Tue, Dec 9, 2025 at 10:53 PM Ken Hohhof <[email protected] 
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:

Maybe he’s referring to all the acquisitions and mergers.  Contel acquired 
hundreds of small telcos and was itself acquired by GTE.

 

My first apartment was in DesPlaines, IL and the phone company was Centel.  
They were maybe acquired by Sprint?

 

From: AF <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> > On Behalf 
Of [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> 
Sent: Tuesday, December 9, 2025 7:00 PM
To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' <[email protected] 
<mailto:[email protected]> >
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] price war

 

All of the small ILECs made it.  They are still there and they are all still 
doing great.  Rate of return regulation is alive and well and makes it 
impossible to go out of business.  (Unless your mom too too much Tylenol).  

 

 

 

From: AF <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> > On Behalf 
Of Steve Jones
Sent: Tuesday, December 9, 2025 12:21 PM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> >
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] price war

 

Look at telephone

 

Internet is the new telephone

 

How many small telephone operators made it

 

That is the exact future of Internet

 

The exact same thing, only faster.

 

Age related retirements excluded, the majority of operators on this list and 
the other ISP communities will not exist in 10 years. Consumer prices all went 
through the roof.  Anybody who thinks its going to go any other way, I truly 
wish it wasnt meth youre smoking, you should switch to cocaine while youre 
still profitable so you can share with me. I dont get to do cocaine since I 
became a growed up, but I will put the offer on the table to do as much cocaine 
as it requires with you to get you to recognize the future.

 

Many of those who took the free money on the builds wont be able to maintain, 
particularly those who built tarana with it. The small regions where two or 
three overbuilds exist will eventually consolidate, competition requires 
customers. Regional monopolies are still monopolies. Monopolies always have the 
same outcomes. Eventually the governments going to step in to help the way they 
saved the consumer by breaking up Ma Bell. 

 

I dont know how big a cocoa plant is, but if somebody could dwarf them, maybe 
small scale cocaine production in the fiber huts would be an option to 
subsidize the burdens, But then your techs would be at risk of kinetic strikes. 
but pretty much without cocaine adjuncts, small operators are going to get 
edged out of the game across the board.

 

On Mon, Dec 8, 2025 at 10:07 PM Ken Hohhof <[email protected] 
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:

I lost a customer today to $30 AT&T 5G Home Internet.  Starlink has 100 Mbps at 
$40 with $0 equipment, and that is without competition yet from Amazon Leo.

 

All the companies looking to deploy BEAD fiber, I’m guessing they are counting 
on around $55 for their base tier, and something like 80% take rate.  But it 
looks like we are already into a price war.  Are they going to be disappointed 
at the revenue?

 

We could say the price war will end and prices will rise, but how will that 
happen unless some of the competitors drop out or consolidate?  In the case of 
the big 3 mobile carriers, that’s not going to happen (although DISH is 
probably a goner).  They could become less aggressive about FWA pricing though 
if they use up all their excess 5G capacity and don’t get more spectrum.  Yeah, 
right.

 

Convince me I’m wrong.

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