Steve, you need an AGI lawyer, not an AGI judge.

On Tue, Oct 15, 2019, 1:34 AM Steve Richfield <[email protected]>
wrote:

> I am helping a friend get ready for a million-dollar mediation - and we
> are wrestling with a complex issue that appears to be mathematical in
> nature, akin to the Prisoner's Dilemma, and possibly a missing piece of AGI.
>
> The situation is complicated, but in a way like Israel or Ireland where
> two groups think they own the same thing, so they get together to discuss
> how this might be unfairly divided between them. My group sees the other as
> robbers who have acted fraudulently to secure their position, while the
> other group has papers in place giving them effective title - but with a
> 20-year wait to get anything. The mediation is how to divide up the money
> now, with some dangerous but uncertain leverage to ruin the robbers in
> court if they don't act reasonably.
>
> This seems to all boil down to “robber’s rules”. Why don’t robbers
> routinely kill their victims and strip them of their valuables? This is
> addressed in *Adventures in Arabia*  by William Seabrook. There are
> several reasons – that all seem to sort of apply here:
> 1.     Other robbers will see killers as being without principle, and so
> won’t trust them to fairly divide the booty. Therefore, it is more
> profitable to first kill the prospective killer – instead of the victim.
> 2.    Blood is SO messy – when simply the threat of death can probably
> accomplish the same thing.
> 3.    If you don’t leave your victim with SOMETHING he might perish, and
> his death would be blamed on you.
> 4.    If you are too greedy, others will hear about it and mount a posse
> to come after you.
> 5.    If he has powerful friends, this could result in your own death.
>
> In a real-life incident described in his book, the author was accosted out
> in the middle of the dessert by a band of bandits. He produced a note
> written in Arabic he had been given to address such situations. The robbers
> carefully read the note – and sent him on his way without robbing him. How
> could any words possibly have turned such a situation around? His next goal
> was to find out precisely what the note said…
>
> I once had a related incident, where in high-school I was accosted by a
> gang of 5 teenage switch-blade-carrying delinquents – very much like the
> last scene in *Westside Story*. I was able to walk away uninjured. I
> starting by challenging their leader…
>
> I would think that SOMEONE has studied this sort of thing in the past -
> does anyone here know of such a study?
>
> Mediations seem SO much like ball squeezing contests. So, what is the
> winning strategy?
>
> With no agreement my group gets nothing, and the other group must wait 20
> years to get it all. With an agreement, we cut this baby in two according
> to agreed upon percentages.
>
> There seems to be two camps:
> 1.  Demand 100%, or else Russian Roulette in court with maybe a 50:50
> chance, and
> 2.  Divide it in half or ???
>
> There will doubtless be head games, Mutt and Jeff setups, etc., as this
> thing unfolds.
>
> I posted this here because SO much of what people here expect an AGI to
> resolve are disputes much like this one.
>
> Thoughts?
>
> Steve Richfield
>
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