On Monday, October 12, 2026, at 8:40 PM, Matt Mahoney wrote: > In the stock market, prices converge to the level where half of the market > thinks the price will go up and half think it will go down. This means the > current price is the best predictor of the future price. Regardless of your > betting strategy, your expected winnings are to break even, minus trading and > management fees.
This market is not the same as it was a few decades ago or a normal market. It’s the gift that keeps on giving. An active trader could be clueless and make a ton of money and a very rational trader could loose everything. The average bet for most people is build up the 401K and IRA’s managed in funds, don’t touch it and there are good gains. “Experts” say a crash is always coming but never happens. Why? M2’s around the world are increasing faster. There’s an AI/Everything bubble, interest rates are getting dangerous and a capital rotation into commodities has started. So what are they going to do about it? They can’t let it crash because then there’s mad max. Debt has to be created faster so fire up some wars and pandemics. Then, release the stablecoins! Transfer the debt into that structure and create a new bubble that makes the existing bubble look like peanuts. Bitcoin was pre-planned. Some call it Epsteincoin with NSAtoken. Will they succeed? It’ll certainly get rough and inflationary. Gotta have the diesel. ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T2784bbfe524b0b93-M134accac594ca4f02a3d72c3 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
