om
While I continue to recover from the shock of the news that some poor,
hapless student was given a PhD for a paper written about the GOERTZEL's
openCog crap, (the student was ripped off). I want to talk about a
general problem that is preventing us from getting our AGI NOW.
My hypothesis is that we are currently on the climbing side of a hump
effect in AI. That is, until we really understand the computations
involved in AI, we will be spending more and more on ever larger and
more baroque neural simulations. Once we are over that hump, and have an
AI, we can start optimizing until the machine requirements for a very
capable system are down in the $50-100k range, assuming no changes in
hardware technology from today.
What would be really awesome would be if the Great Oracle would simply
give us the theory we need, we could then spend a couple of mega-clams
on ASIC design and, from there, go directly into mass production...
The problem, of course, is to try to optimize the process so that we
don't have to climb all the way to the top of the hump before getting to
AI. What pisses me off about uploaders, on this issue, is that they
don't want to short-cut things, they want to go all the way to the top,
and, presumably, stay there. =( That's not the way to go! You want to
get to the vast fertile fields on the other side. That's the only place
you are going to get any significant *QUALITATIVE* improvements in
intelligence. Back-porting those improvements into your own being is a
completely different and very interesting/important subject, and
off-topic for the AGI list...
The only thing the uploaders try to offer you is an increase in "clock
speed". They assume that you will also then require a similarly
overclocked environment... This VR environment is typically presented as
being secondary to the clock speed improvment. But the real paydirt is
the qualitative improvments... That's where you get your wisdom, that's
where you get your advanced capabilities. That's where you get your real
IQ boosts.
--
E T F
N H E
D E D
Powers are not rights.
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AGI
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