> -----Original Message----- > From: Ben Goertzel [mailto:b...@goertzel.org] > > > My goal is not to create AGI, because I realize that is quite > > impossible to do by myself. It is going to happen, but gradually with > > a global effort. Don't you think that if there were an easy way to do > > it that businesses would not still be paying people $70 trillion per > > year worldwide to do work that machines aren't smart enough to do? > > Yes, but what if there is a **hard but still feasible** way to do it, which a few > of us see and others [like you] do not? ;p ;) ... >
Has anyone else done a study on these calculations? Matt's number of $70 trill is the only one I've seen so it is definitely a ballpark figure. And projected dates for completing software projects especially complex and risky ones are merely stakes in the sand. If Matt's figure is anywhere near reality AGI should be getting massive investment just to get a taste of ROI on some of that low hanging Venn diagram proto-AGI fruit in that massive figure of $70 trillion. It's a simple concept. We pay people $70 trillion because we don't have machines smart enough. If we had machines (or software) smart enough I could walk into any larger company with two floppy disks in hand, symbolically, and walk up to the general manager and demand that they immediately adhere to my demands otherwise they will be going out of business because company B is already implementing said solution. Or then, I could say that company B is already making needed investments in said solution R&D in effect consuming available appropriately skilled resources capable of creating and implementing said solution. It is gradually getting to the point where companies are going to start shooting their R&D budgets randomly into the dark on AGI and the typical moron blowhards are going to take the winnings. Already the "smart" trend has taken hold you can see it everywhere from TV's to pharmaceuticals to washing machines to thermostats. Everything now is banded "smart" as a competitive edge even friggn french fries: http://gourmetbasics.com/. Where is that going to lead? A counter trend to things getting dumber? I don't think so. This is a major, major trend underway going on right NOW. John ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
