Hmmm... I think the AGI problem is  way too hard for an "amateur programmer" to solve.
 
But there are a lot of professionals out there too.  A completely unknown genius at the University of Outer Kirgizia could band together with his grad students and create an AGI in 5 years, then release it on the shocked world.  I think that sort of thing is within the realm of possibility, though I don't it'll happen.
 
Ben
 
 
On the other hand, memory is getting cheaper faster than cpu's, and printed circuit board design and fabrication is also getting cheaper.  At some point in the future there is going to be a million amateur programmers out there with hardware and software tools capable of developing AGI.  In fairly short order at least one of those million will get it right.  Hold on to your hats!
 
 
Mike Deering.
www.SingularityActionGroup.com    <---new website.
 

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