I'm going to make an extremely inflammatory statement and say that I 
believe that "uncertain logic systems, uncertain inferences and the 'correct' 
handling of uncertainty via Bayes and other methods have clouded the issue of 
AGI with irrelevant facts and side-tracked many researchers into working at an 
entirely too low/detailed a level for "general" AGI.

    Mike's original e-mail was exactly on point . . . . When an AGI is given 
incorrect or, more frequently, insufficient information in terms of how a given 
situation deviates from the norm -- the *correct* behavior is for it to give an 
incorrect answer.  I also like his statements that knowledge must be grounded 
yet provisional and that every concept must be a tree, which can continually be 
added to and fundamentally altered.
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Mike Tintner 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Monday, April 30, 2007 8:33 AM
  Subject: **SPAM** Re: [agi] MONISTIC, CLOSED-ENDED AI VS PLURALISTIC, 
OPEN-ENDED AGI


  obvious rejoinder:  how can you have "correct" handling of uncertainty?  
Perhaps you mean "effective/ most effective available". But it's worth picking 
up on, because there is a fundamental contradiction here in many thinkers - 
i.e. it may well be that people are still caught between two eras & haven't 
passed over fully.

  Best example  I can think of is William Calvin saying something like: "the 
conscious mind is clearly designed to deal with problematic decisions, where 
existing solutions won't work. The smartest mind is the one that can find the 
correct answer to those problems."    Well, that's a definite 
self-contradiction. There is no correct answer to problematic decisions, only a 
calculated gamble.


    ----- Original Message ----- 
    From: Benjamin Goertzel 
    To: [email protected] 
    Sent: Monday, April 30, 2007 1:24 PM
    Subject: Re: [agi] MONISTIC, CLOSED-ENDED AI VS PLURALISTIC, OPEN-ENDED AGI





      Your reactions please about to what extent any modern AGI incorporates 
uncertainty and provisionality of knowledge, and the need for rightness of 
other forms of AI.





    Well, a number of modern AGI designs (Novamente, NARS) are specifically 
founded on uncertain logic systems... in which correct handling of uncertainty 
is at the core... 

    Generally, uncertain inference is a pretty hot area in mainstream "narrow 
AI" these days, but most of the work is on relatively simple manifestations 
like Bayes Nets...

    -- Ben

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