Great summary of the issue and open questions.
Stefan

On Nov 1, 2007 10:34 AM, Matt Mahoney <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> AGI does not need promoting.  AGI could potentially replace all human
> labor,
> currently valued at US $66 trillion per year worldwide.  Google has gone
> from
> nothing to the fifth biggest company in the U.S. in 10 years by solving
> just a
> little bit of of the AI problem better than its competitors.
>
> We should be more concerned about the risks of AGI.  When humans can make
> machines smarter than themselves, then so can those machines.  The result
> will
> be an intelligence explosion.  http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html
>
> The problem is that humans cannot predict -- and therefore cannot control
> --
> machines that are vastly smarter.  The SIAI ( http://www.singinst.org/ )
> has
> tried to address these risks, so far without success.  This really is a
> fundamental problem, proved in a more formal sense by Shane Legg (
> http://www.vetta.org/documents/IDSIA-12-06-1.pdf ).  Recursive self
> improvement is a probabilistic, evolutionary process that favors rapid
> reproduction and acquisition of computing resources (aka intelligence),
> regardless of its initial goals.  Each successive generation gets smarter,
> faster, and less dependent on human cooperation.
>
> Whether this is good or bad is a philosophical question we can't answer.
>  It
> is what it is.  The brain is a computer, programed through evolution with
> goals that maximize fitness but limit our capacity for rational
> introspection.
>  Could your consciousness exist in a machine with different goals or
> different
> memories?  Do you become the godlike intelligence that replaces the human
> race?
>
>
> -- Matt Mahoney, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
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-- 
Stefan Pernar
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#6 Cai Hong Road, Da Shan Zi
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