--- Richard Loosemore <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> The problem with the scenarios that people imagine (many of which are 
> Nightmare Scenarios) is that the vast majority of them involve 
> completely untenable assumptions.  One example is the idea that there 
> will be a situation in the world in which there are many 
> superintelligent AGIs in the world, all competing with each other for 
> power in a souped up version of today's arms race(s).  This is 
> extraordinarily unlikely:  the speed of development would be such that 
> one would have an extremely large time advantage (head start) on the 
> others, and during that time it would merge the others with itself, to 
> ensure that there was no destructive competition.  Whichever way you try 
> to think about this situation, the same conclusion seems to emerge.

As a counterexample, I offer evolution.  There is good evidence that every
living thing evolved from a single organism: all DNA is twisted in the same
direction.


-- Matt Mahoney, [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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