--- On Thu, 9/4/08, Bryan Bishop <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > On Thursday 04 September 2008, Matt Mahoney wrote: > > A closed model is unrealistic, but an open model is > even more > > unrealistic because you lack a means of assigning > likelihoods to > > statements like "the sun will rise tomorrow" > or "the world will end > > tomorrow". You absolutely must have a means of > guessing probabilities > > to do anything at all in the real world. > > I don't assign or guess probabilities and I seem to get > things done. > What gives?
Yes you do. Every time you make a decision, you are assigning a higher probability of a good outcome to your choice than to the alternative. -- Matt Mahoney, [EMAIL PROTECTED] ------------------------------------------- agi Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/ Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=111637683-c8fa51 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
