plausible means something akin to "there is a colorable argument that it is
true". if you are convinced that there is a reasonable argument that it's
related to the Rulekeepor's duties, that's probably enough. However, mere
ambiguity or unsureness isn't.

On Sat, Jun 20, 2020 at 11:00 AM Kerim Aydin via agora-discussion <
agora-discussion@agoranomic.org> wrote:

>
>
> On 6/19/2020 5:49 PM, Aris Merchant via agora-discussion wrote:
> > On Fri, Jun 19, 2020 at 5:35 PM nch via agora-discussion <
> > agora-discussion@agoranomic.org> wrote:
> >
> >> On 6/19/20 7:26 PM, Kerim Aydin via agora-official wrote:
> >>> The below CFJ is 3853.  I assign it to nch.
> >>>
> >>> status:https://faculty.washington.edu/kerim/nomic/cases/#3853
> >>>
> >>> ===============================  CFJ 3853
> >> ===============================
> >>>
> >>>        Within the past week, Jason committed the crime of Uncertain
> >>>        Certification.
> >>>
> >>>
> >>
> ==========================================================================
> >>
> >> As someone who strongly opposed the relevant rule, specifically because
> >> of its ambiguity, I feel like I've been Cassandra'd.
> >>
> >
> >
> > Gratuitous:
> >
> > Plausibly is the opposite of manifestly. If you ask whether something is
> > manifestly X, then if you're not sure the thing is X, the answer is no.
> > When you ask whether something is plausibly X, if you're not sure if it's
> > X, the answer is yes. So if you're sure it isn't related to Rulekeepor
> this
> > is TRUE, otherwise it is FALSE. This part of the rule was deliberately
> > written in such a way as to minimize the ambiguity that would otherwise
> > result.
>
> Something of a counter:
>
> "Plausible:  reasonable or probable".  That doesn't sound to me like
> "ambiguity = yes" it sounds to me like preponderance of the logic/reason,
> and reasonableness can take into account things like good of the game and
> so forth.  (By your definition, it's plausible that the Arbitor can do
> this with any bug, because someone might call a cfj about it.  But that
> doesn't seem "reasonable" so seems against the actual dictionary
> definition of the term).
>
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-- 
>From R. Lee

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