Hence my recommendation to use cross cross validation
Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/books.htm



 --- Colin Daly <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: 
> 
> 
> Hi
> 
> Sorry to repeat myself - but the samples are not
> independent.  Independance is a fundamental
> assumption of these types of tests - and you cannot
> interpret the tests if this assumption is violated. 
> In the situation where spatial correlation exists,
> the true standard error is nothing like as small as
> the (s/sqrt(n)) that Chaosheng discusses - because
> the sqrt(n) depends on independence.
> 
> Again, as I said before, if the data has any type of
> trend in it, then it is completely meaningless to
> try and use these tests - and with no trend but some
> 'ordinary' correlation, you must find a means of
> taking the data redundancy into account or risk get
> hopelessly pessimistic results (in the sense of
> rejecting the null hypothesis of equal means far too
> often)
> 
> Consider a trivial example. A one dimensional random
> function which takes constant values over intervals
> of lenght one - so, it takes the value a_0 in the
> interval [0,1[  then the value a_1 in the interval
> [1,2[ and so on (let us suppose that each a_n term
> is drawn at random from a gaussian distribution with
> the same mean and variance for example).  Next
> suppose you are given samples on the interval [0,2].
> You spot that there seems to be a jump between [0,1[
> and [1,2[  - so you test for the difference in the
> means. If you apply an f test you will easily find
> that the mean differs (and more convincingly the
> more samples you have drawn!). However by
> construction of the random function,  the mean is
> not different.  We have been lulled into the false
> conclusion of differing means by assuming that all
> our data are independent.
> 
> Regards
> 
> Colin Daly
> 
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Chaosheng Zhang
> [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: Sun 12/5/2004 11:42 AM
> To:   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Cc:   Colin Badenhorst; Isobel Clark; Donald E. Myers
> Subject:      Re: [ai-geostats] F and T-test for samples
> drawn from the same p
> Dear all,
> 
> 
> 
> I'm wondering if sample size (number of samples, n)
> is playing a role here.
> 
> 
> 
> Since Colin is using Excel to analyse several
> thousand samples, I have checked the functions of
> t-tests in Excel. In the Data Analysis Tools help, a
> function is provided for "t-Test: Two-Sample
> Assuming Unequal Variances analysis". This function
> is the same as those from many text books (There are
> other forms of the function). Unfortunately, I
> cannot find the function for "assuming equal
> variances" in Excel, but I assume they are similar,
> and should be the same as those from some text
> books.
> 
> 
> 
> From the function, you can find that when the sample
> size is large you always get a large t value. When
> sample size is large enough, even slight differences
> between the mean values of two data sets (x bar and
> y bar) can be detected, and this will result in
> rejection of the null hypothesis. This is in fact
> quite reasonable. When the sample size is large, you
> are confident with the mean values (Central Limit
> Theorem), with a very small stand error
> (s/(sqrt(n)). Therefore, you are confident to detect
> the differences between the two data sets. Even
> though there is only a slight difference, you can
> still say, yes, they are "significantly" different.
> 
> 
> 
> If you still remember some time ago, we had a
> discussion on large sample size problem for tests
> for normality. When the sample size is large enough,
> the result can always be expected (for real data
> sets), that is, rejection of the null hypothesis.
> 
> 
> 
> Cheers,
> 
> 
> 
> Chaosheng
> 
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
> 
> Dr. Chaosheng Zhang
> 
> Lecturer in GIS
> 
> Department of Geography
> 
> National University of Ireland, Galway
> 
> IRELAND
> 
> Tel: +353-91-524411 x 2375
> 
> Direct Tel: +353-91-49 2375
> 
> Fax: +353-91-525700
> 
> E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> 
> Web 1: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/zhang.html
> 
> Web 2: www.nuigalway.ie/geography/gis/index.htm
> 
>
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> ----- Original Message -----
> 
> From: "Isobel Clark" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> 
> To: "Donald E. Myers" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> 
> Cc: "Colin Badenhorst" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>;
> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> 
> Sent: Saturday, December 04, 2004 11:49 AM
> 
> Subject: [ai-geostats] F and T-test for samples
> drawn from the same p
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> > Don
> 
> >
> 
> > Thank you for the extended clarification of F and
> t
> 
> > hypothesis test. For those unfamiliar with the
> 
> > concept, it is worth noting that the F test for
> 
> > multiple means may be more familiar under the
> title
> 
> > "Analysis of variance".
> 
> >
> 
> > My own brief answer was in the context of Colin's
> 
> > question, where it was quite clear that he was
> talking
> 
> > aboutthe simplest F variance-ratio and t
> comparison of
> 
> > means test.
> 
> >
> 
> > Isobel
> 
> >
> 
> >
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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