If my entry doesn't win ill be looking to contribute to a winning open
source ADC project in hopes of getting a share of the Round 2 winnings
there. And if I do win I'll be looking for quality developers who
weren't as lucky as me! There is just no end to the programming in
sight!

On Apr 7, 1:29 pm, "Muthuselvam Ramadoss" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:
> Peli,
>
> What an analysis, WOW!
>
> ADC Judges, You don't have to look at Peli's submission. Go ahead and award
> him the prize, right now :)
>
>
>
> On Mon, Apr 7, 2008 at 10:47 PM, Peli <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> > Note that the previous guess was done prior to the deadline extension
> > from March to April.
>
> > It is nevertheless interesting to see how the competition evolved:
> > These are the numbers from January 5:
> > Number of members in the various forums:
> > Android Beginners. 2072
> > Android Developers: 6803
> > Android Internals: 966
> > Android Challenge: 1308
> > Android Discuss: 855
> > anddev.org: 585
>
> > And these are the numbers as of today, April 7, one week before the
> > new deadline:
> > Android Beginners. 3478 (+68%)
> > Android Developers: 8573 (+26%)
> > Android Internals: 1510 (+56%)
> > Android Challenge: 1984 (+52%)
> > Android Discuss: 1300 (+52%)
> > anddev.org: 1876 (+220%)
>
> > First of all, this means that anddev.org did a marvellous job in
> > increasing their user base! :-)
>
> > More interestingly, the developer's forum grew slower than all other
> > forums! This may actually indicate that the developer's forums number
> > has been overestimated at the beginning. This comes as no surprise, as
> > the original forum was only the developer's forum, and that split into
> > the other groups. Subtracting a constant 3500 members from developer's
> > forum results in a comparable increase as the other forums
> > ((8573-3500) / (6803-3500) = +53%).
>
> > 50% increase over the last 13 weeks corresponds to roughly 20% over
> > the last 6 weeks. So increasing the deadline by 6 weeks merely
> > resulted in maybe 20% more applications submitted than would have been
> > submitted already in March (just talking about the number of
> > applications - not their quality!)
>
> > Adding the 20% to the 250 non-trivial working applications in the
> > original post, you end up with 300 applications mentioned above :-)
>
> > If you have a working application that is not completely trivial,
> > chances of winning in the first round are roughly 1/6 (meaning if you
> > have 5 friends who submit, one of them or yourself may actually win).
>
> > Peli
>
> > PS: Do I have 5 friends in this forum who have non-trivial working
> > applications, but think they can not win? :-)
>
> > On Apr 7, 6:06 pm, "Muthuselvam Ramadoss" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> > wrote:
> > > 10000 vs 300
>
> > > that's a huge gap.. proves my estimate is really an uneducated guess!
>
> > > On Mon, Apr 7, 2008 at 9:17 PM, Kornelius Tuggerson <
>
> > > [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> > > > In the previous post about the number of entries it was estimated that
> > > > there would be about 300 viable entries that don't crash and actually
> > > > do something useful. That sounds about right to me.
>
> > > >http://groups.google.com/group/android-challenge/browse_thread/thread.
> > ..
>
> > > > On Apr 7, 8:37 am, "Muthuselvam Ramadoss" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> > > > wrote:
> > > > > around 10k is my uneducated guess. ofcourse, i'll change this soon
> > ;)
>
> > > > > On Mon, Apr 7, 2008 at 5:55 PM, Hielko <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> > > > > > How many submissions will there be for the first round of the
> > Android
> > > > > > Challenge? I think it will be in the neighborhood of one thousend
> > > > > > submissions, what do you think? Make an educated guess.
>
> > > > > --
> > > > > take care,
> > > > > Muthu Ramadoss.
>
> > > > >http://mobeegal.in-findstuff closer.
>
> > > --
> > > take care,
> > > Muthu Ramadoss.
>
> > >http://mobeegal.in-find stuff closer.
>
> --
> take care,
> Muthu Ramadoss.
>
> http://mobeegal.in- find stuff closer.
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