Al Sutton wrote:
> This would be a great idea if Google made the hardware available to 
> everyone, but for developers who are part of the 95% of the worlds 
> population who don't live in the US they have a choice;
> 
> a) Release and rely on user feedback to help development.
> 
> b) Hold back until they can get a device and risk losing out to 
> developers in Googles preferred markets that are able to release code 
> soon after the G1 is available.

I agree that, ideally, there'd be a way to purchase unlocked hardware 
through a developer program. Problem is, I suspect this is a prime 
loophole for device speculators who resell hardware on eBay. Besides, 
the contracts between HTC and T-Mobile might not have allowed it, 
regardless of what Google or any other OHA member might have wanted or 
not wanted.

> So, although an release of emulator tested code may not be ideal, for 
> many it's going to be the only option if they want to get things 
> rolling, and who knows, developers may end up with users who do have 
> G1s' who are want to help test and app and give feedback as opposed to 
> having to wait until Google decide to launch the phone in the developers 
> market.

That's one attitude. Another is "you only have one chance to make a 
first impression".

Bear in mind that first-mover advantage is an advantage, not a guarantee 
of success or, conversely, indicator of failure if you're not first. I 
get the impression that plenty of iPhone apps that weren't available on 
Day One have still gotten popular. Furthermore, if first-mover advantage 
were permanent, we should all still be using WordStar as our word 
processor. The fact that we aren't demonstrates that first-mover 
advantage is not a permanent winning state.

I'm not questioning that, for some developers and some apps, launching 
based on emulator-only testing is the right strategy. I do dispute the 
notion that it is the only strategy.

And now, I sit back and wait for somebody to reply, "I *do* still use 
WordStar, you insensitive clod!"... ;-)

-- 
Mark Murphy (a Commons Guy)
http://commonsware.com

Android Training on the Ranch! -- Mar 16-20, 2009
http://www.bignerdranch.com/schedule.shtml

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