Hi Alyssa,

On Thu, 14 Jan 2021, Alyssa Moore wrote:

Right - this is what I was trying to get at with my first response. 

The next disbursement would fulfill the requests of all of those 26
organizations who would be reinstated if this policy passed, plus everyone
else presently on the waiting list. This was the information provided to the
Advisory Council in the October and November meetings. John Curran or
Sweeting can confirm whether this remains true.

Thank you. What inventory would remain after such an action? What is the present and expected "burn rate" of said inventory from new requests to the wait list, notwithstanding the petition at hand? It seems to me that it is in the best interest of the community as a whole if that inventory lasts as long as possible, which appears to be the intent of the existing policy; rationing of addresses to the waitlist by limiting requests by block size. If these 26 orgs were to get their allocations as requested, how much "runway" is taken away, at present and expected "burn rate?"

Hypothetical example for clarity: there are presently 10K addresses, being allocated at 100/month(burn rate), giving us 100 months of normal, uninterrupted operation(runway). 5K addresses are requested by legacy waitlisters. this cuts runway in half. my concern speaks more to the longevity of the mechanism than effects on those presently participating.

Scott



I believe a few of the other 26 affected orgs have chimed in during the
discussion of this proposal. 



On Thu, Jan 14, 2021 at 9:59 AM <[email protected]> wrote:
      Hi Alyssa,

      On Thu, 14 Jan 2021, Alyssa Moore wrote:

      > Ah, of course! My apologies. The answer to that is: 26
      organizations would
      > be reinstated if this policy went through. 

      Thank you. Have we heard from the other 25?  If all of these
      were
      fulfilled, what percentage of existing inventory would be
      consumed.  All
      of it?  It seems reasonable to me that the same kinds of
      considerations
      apply in this case as "2 packages of toilet paper per customer"
      when the
      pandemic hit.  This feeling becomes particularly acute when
      considering
      both that the waitlist address pool was only replenished after
      the
      recovery of addresses from those who acquired them fraudulently,
      and that
      precedent to that, the waitlist mechanism suffered from no
      available
      inventory.

      I will, however, reserve voicing an opinion until I fully
      understand the
      effects of the outcome on the available address pool, in both
      scenarios.

      Thanks,
      Scott


      >
      > On Thu, Jan 14, 2021 at 9:32 AM <[email protected]> wrote:
      >       Hi Alyssa,
      >
      >       Good to speak with you.  Perhaps I mispoke... how many
      >       organizations were
      >       removed from the waitlist and are still seeking larger
      >       allocations?  If
      >       my understanding of the original issue appears unclear,
      please
      >       enlighten
      >       me!
      >
      >       I am trying to determine if orgs other than the
      petitioner were
      >       effected; if so, how many, and what effect that would
      have on
      >       ARIN's
      >       related inventory of addresses allocatable via the
      waitlist (not
      >       including
      >       4.10s, etc.).
      >
      >       Thanks,
      >       Scott
      >
      >       On Thu, 14 Jan 2021, Alyssa Moore wrote:
      >
      >       > Hi Scott,
      >       >
      >       > Anita Nikolich (AC member) answered this on Dec 16:
      >       >
      >       > >Please note (and you can refer to the Nov AC minutes)
      >       that organizations
      >       > that are currently on the waitlist won’t be affected,
      because
      >       the next
      >       > disbursement of v4 would fulfill all the exempted orgs
      as well
      >       as the ones
      >       > remaining on the list. The overall impact to the
      current
      >       waitlist is
      >       > non-existent from these requests. 
      >       >
      >       > On Thu, Jan 14, 2021 at 9:21 AM
      <[email protected]> wrote:
      >       >       Hi John,
      >       >
      >       >       In these deliberations, I think it would be
      useful to
      >       know how
      >       >       many actual
      >       >       ARIN Member Organizations would be effected.  I
      am not
      >       talking
      >       >       about
      >       >       downstream customers, affiliates, or the like,
      but only
      >       resource
      >       >       holders
      >       >       on the actual waitlist.  Does John Sweeting have
      any
      >       metrics as
      >       >       to this?
      >       >       Further, if all effected organizations were to
      receive
      >       the
      >       >       allocations
      >       >       they are seeking, what percentage of the
      available
      >       address
      >       >       inventory would
      >       >       be immediately exhausted?
      >       >
      >       >       Thanks,
      >       >       Scott
      >       >
      >       >       On Thu, 14 Jan 2021, John Curran wrote:
      >       >
      >       >       > On 14 Jan 2021, at 11:00 AM, Michael B.
      Williams
      >       >       > <[email protected]> wrote:
      >       >       >
      >       >       >       How does ARIN analyze the response from
      this? Is
      >       there
      >       >       weight
      >       >       >       given only to ARIN member organizations
      or any
      >       >       organization? If
      >       >       >       anyone is given consideration, what is
      to stop
      >       people
      >       >       from
      >       >       >       lobbying individuals and other
      organizations to
      >       send an
      >       >       email to
      >       >       >       support their agenda? For example, I
      could very
      >       easily
      >       >       find 500
      >       >       >       people to respond to this email saying
      they do
      >       not
      >       >       support the
      >       >       >       policy. If I were a malicious actor
      trying to
      >       influence
      >       >       policy
      >       >       >       discussion and were to offer some sort
      of
      >       incentive for
      >       >       those to
      >       >       >       reply I could easily have thousands of
      >       organizations
      >       >       supporting
      >       >       >       this policy one way or another. 
      >       >       >
      >       >       > My feelings would be the majority of the
      weight should
      >       be
      >       >       given to
      >       >       > ARIN member organizations voices as part of
      the
      >       tallying
      >       >       process. If
      >       >       > that is the case, perhaps we should ask those
      >       organizations to
      >       >       include
      >       >       > their ARIN org id?
      >       >       >
      >       >       >
      >       >       > Michael - 
      >       >       >
      >       >       > The ARIN Policy Development Process specifies
      the
      >       petition
      >       >       appeal process,
      >       >       > and the sole criteria for a successful
      petition is
      >       expressions
      >       >       of support
      >       >       > from at least 25 different people from 25
      different
      >       >       organizations.  
      >       >       >
      >       >       > Note that a successful petition simply means
      that the
      >       policy –
      >       >       without any
      >       >       > recommendation of adoption from the ARIN
      Advisory
      >       Council –
      >       >       will be sent to
      >       >       > the ARIN Board of Trustees for their
      consideration of
      >       possible
      >       >       adoption.
      >       >       >  Also note that for the purpose of determining
      >       petition
      >       >       success, ARIN staff
      >       >       > will only be counting those messages which
      clearly
      >       indicate
      >       >       support for the
      >       >       > petition and include both the submitters name
      and
      >       their
      >       >       organization. 
      >       >       >
      >       >       > The ARIN Board is on the ARIN Public Policy
      Mailing
      >       List, and
      >       >       will see any
      >       >       > discussion of substantial merits or concerns
      with the
      >       policy. 
      >       >       Each trustee
      >       >       > is free to weight such input as they see fit,
      but at
      >       this
      >       >       point it is not a
      >       >       > numerical question – as we are not seeking a
      poll of
      >       support
      >       >       or opposition
      >       >       > to the policy – but rather simply whether at
      least 25
      >       >       organizations feel
      >       >       > (despite the ARIN AC’s decision not to
      recommend) that
      >       policy
      >       >       warrants
      >       >       > consideration by the ARIN Board of Trustees.  
      >       >       >
      >       >       > Thanks,
      >       >       > /John
      >       >       >
      >       >       > John Curran
      >       >       > President and CEO
      >       >       > American Registry for Internet Numbers
      >       >       >
      >       >       >
      >       >       >
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