jaysung;229757 Wrote: 
> <snip>
> By saying that I reached signifficant recognition rates of .0531% I
> mean that there is only 1024*0.0531 56 approx. (had calculated with 55)
> possibilities of have 8 out of 10. 

Hi Jay,  thanks for the explanation.  I teach physics and am also
pretty familiar with probability and statistics.  I was asking about
sequence to make sure you hadn't thrown away some initial series of
not-so-successful trials.  People often do that, thinking they need to
"warm up", but it can be extremely misleading because you may (perhaps
not consciously) throw away  results until you achieve something
consistent with your expectations.  That's sometimes called
cherrypicking, and it's a big concern in science (it's one of the
reasons you should never fully trust the reported statistical
significance of experiments).

Do I understand you correctly that you identified the source correctly
8 times out of 10 trials?  The chance of scoring 8 or higher out of 10
randomly is 5.5%.  However in this instance one should double this,
because the null hypothesis (that the two sources are identical) would
be rejected either by a very high score or a very low one (in other
words you should use the "two tailed" distribution). 

8/10 or better OR 2/10 or worse will occur randomly 11% of the time,
which doesn't meet the criterion of stat significance.  That's
especially important here, where the test was single blind (your
girlfriend and you were in the same room, right?).


-- 
opaqueice
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