No.  They break it down by state only.  

 

Out of the 34, 26 were listed as nil injury, 4 minor and 4 major.

 

It’s on the bottom corner of page 45.  I thinks there are some typo’s on some 
of the row headings for Damage and Injury.

 

I do recall hearing the figure of 30 hrs per pilot per year being bandied 
around some (significant) time ago which reflects a person flying once per 
fortnight.  If you estimate that 2100 pilots do 30 hrs per year and your 200 
comp pilots do 150 hrs per year it works out to be an average all round of 50 
hrs per year per pilot.

 

So we get something like this (with a bit of rounding) for 34 events:

Average hrs per pilot per year

30 hrs                    1 event per 2,300 hrs

50 hrs                    1 event per 3,800 hrs

70 hrs                    1 event per 5,300 hrs

 

 

Lies and damned statistics!

 

 

From: Aus-soaring [mailto:aus-soaring-boun...@lists.base64.com.au] On Behalf Of 
Richard Frawley
Sent: Friday, 4 March 2016 3:13 PM
To: Discussion of issues relating to Soaring in Australia. 
<aus-soaring@lists.base64.com.au>
Subject: Re: [Aus-soaring] Potential dangers in the sport of gliding

 

any breakdown on the 23 in regard if any were at comps and how many fatalities?


On 4 Mar 2016, at 2:46 PM, Anthony Smith <anthony.sm...@adelaide.on.net 
<mailto:anthony.sm...@adelaide.on.net> > wrote:

>From the Feb-Mar 2016 issue of Gliding Australia:

 

>From 1 Oct 15 to 30 Nov 15: There were 34 reported accidents and incidents.

 

Of these:

 

In flight                 2

Launch                  5

Ground Ops       1

Landing                23

Outlanding          3

 

I haven’t found the total reported hours for the same / similar period yet. I 
will not hazard a guess about the average hours per year per pilot.

 

Latest Gliding International magazine estimated that we have~2600 active 
pilots.  Mandy reported 2560 active pilots in January this year.

 

 

 

From: Aus-soaring [ <mailto:aus-soaring-boun...@lists.base64.com.au> 
mailto:aus-soaring-boun...@lists.base64.com.au] On Behalf Of Mike Borgelt
Sent: Friday, 4 March 2016 12:48 PM
To: Discussion of issues relating to Soaring in Australia. < 
<mailto:aus-soaring@lists.base64.com.au> aus-soaring@lists.base64.com.au>
Subject: Re: [Aus-soaring] Potential dangers in the sport of gliding

 

Making it anywhere from 50 to 80 km/hr isn't going to change things by all that 
much.

Call it a good physics order of magnitude estimate. It is better than that 
actually.

Mike

At 11:51 AM 3/4/2016, you wrote:






On 4/03/2016 12:07 PM, Mike Borgelt wrote:




I doubt you'll find glider crash rates per km. Hours, yes.

What is the average speed of a motorcycle on the roads. I'll say 60km/h based 
on driving a car with a car computer a few times.


Off the top of my head, I couldn't say for sure. I don't have time to go 
trawling through the literature right now, but I'd guess it might be a bit 
higher than for cars, given the proportion of motorcycle use that is 
recreational (as opposed to commuting in traffic).






That gives you around one crash per 1600 hours or so for motorcycles. I guess 
this is crashes not fatals? If so sounds about right for gliders too.


Yep, that's crashes, not fatals. Finding papers that have exposure data *and* 
fatality data for motorcycles would take a bit more time (I didn't see any 
during my quickish search earlier); and the nature of the beast is that just 
copypasting the exposure data into someone else's fatality rate calculation is 
prone to give you wildly inaccurate results, due to differences in sample 
characteristics, methodology, etc, etc. (These things are never easy.)


Teal






Mike

At 10:58 AM 3/4/2016, you wrote:






On 4/03/2016 10:44 AM, DMcD wrote:




And I don't think you could compare gliding with motorcycle riding (racing 
maybe). In terms of deaths per hundred thousand rider or comp pilot hours, 
you'd find a difference of several orders of magnitude. We have what  2500 
pilots active in Australia? And how many die each year? 1-2?


FWIW, I can help a bit with that question. Good road traffic exposure data can 
be a bit hard to come by, but a bit of searching found a paper* reporting 
motorcycle crash rates for NSW from (I think) 2004, and they said: "The mean 
crash rate (based on self-reported crash involvement) was 0.96 crashes/100,000 
km".

Now, if anyone has crash data and exposure figures for glider pilots (measured 
in km travelled) then we can see how glider fatalities compare with motorcycle 
fatalities, should we so desire.


Teal


*Source: Harrison, W. A., & Christie, R. (2005). Exposure survey of 
motorcyclists in New South Wales. /Accident Analysis & Prevention/, /37/(3), 
441-451.

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