On Tuesday, February 18, 2014 6:40:04 AM UTC-7, Gerald wrote:
>
> We are basically keeping up with the back logs at most of the distributors.
>
> As you can see we ship 700 per day and no one shows stock.
>
> We have 140,000 board back log at this time. A lot of those orders have 
> only come in the last couple of months. Lead times on some parts is 26 
> weeks. 
>
> capacity is not the issue.
>
>
Hi Gerald,

I just want to check your math here. 

Using your last full month, January 2014, you shipped 13,575 boards over 22 
working days, or about 617 boards per day. So shipping 700 per day seems 
reasonable.

You say your backlog is 140000 boards which were ordered in the last couple 
of months. If I use 3 months as the span for the backlog orders, you 
backlog orders for about 47000 boards per month, or about 2100 boards per 
working day (based on 22 working days per month). 

Based on this your order backlog is growing at about 3 time the rate you 
are shipping. It seems like this must have been the case for a while in 
order for the backlog to build to 140000 boards. So perhaps capacity really 
is an issue.

Is your current production limited by part supply issues? If so, I assume 
you increased your part orders several months ago when the backlog began, 
but with 26 week deliveries you won't see the increased supply for another 
3 months or so. If that's the case then the backlog will only continue to 
grow and will take a month or two after the parts supply improves before 
you are able to clear this backlog even if you can increase your capacity 
to ship 7000 boards per day (i.e. 10 times what you are doing now). 

I agree that people best bet is still to place an order and get in the 
queue for any boards they want. They may have to wait for a while.

Dennis Cote

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