Expedite fees? Well we used to do that on the earlier boards. But there is
zero buffer on these boards. The idea of loosing say $700,000 is not
something that makes a lot of sense. Having deals and POs in
place with distributors and then telling them, Oh sorry, you have to pay
more is tough.

I am thinking of maybe taking the price to say $75 in the future.

Gerald


On Thu, Feb 20, 2014 at 11:51 PM, <[email protected]> wrote:

> Appreciate the figures of 700/day on supply and 140,000 on back orders
> (200 days of supply.. phew!).
>
> This is an awesome product. What you saw until October was just people
> trying it out.  They've concluded it is a good product and are ordering it
> in greater quantities.  That is where we are and I hear similar stories
> from others. An order build up of 140,000 in two months, even with supply
> of 700/day suggests an incoming demand of *3500+ per day.*  I believe you
> will see this kind of demand continue.  None of these buyers want to get
> into manufacturing--Circuitco is good at it.  It would be a shame to see a
> great product go sideways due to supply issues.
>
> Given that the main constraint is lead time for some components: if
> sweeteners such as expedite fees can help, I think the community won't mind
> a higher price.. say $48 or $50, to ensure a demand-supply balance.
>
>
>
> On Friday, February 21, 2014 9:01:54 AM UTC+5:30, Gerald wrote:
>
>> We did this. A year ago when we launched the product. Things were fine
>> until roughly October. Demand has risen due to people
>> using boards in products  They never told anyone about
>> their pending demand. They thought the boards just magically appear in the
>> cabbage patch.
>>
>> We build to distributor orders and schedules. We are close to getting out
>> of this.
>>
>> I appreciate your offer of help. But this is not just a analytic problem.
>> It is a data problem. We have plugged the data into the formula and
>> are adjusting to that new data and working to fill the pipeline and to get
>> orders shipped.
>>
>> Gerald
>>
>>
>> On Thu, Feb 20, 2014 at 9:21 PM, Anil Gupta <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> Dave,
>>> Gerald,
>>>
>>> From my experience with product fulfillment: a good plan would establish
>>> a target date when the product would be broadly available in the market
>>> with only occasional shortages.   A key to this is to show back orders as a
>>> % of weekly production, and whether back orders are reducing or increasing
>>> as we fulfill back orders and receive new orders each week.  There would be
>>> a weekly review of whether the target date is likely to be met, production
>>> plan and any changes, and a new date, if needed.  Sudden orders and other
>>> unexpected situations are common in all kinds of fulfillment situations and
>>> there are lots of good systems to deal with this.
>>>
>>> I am happy to volunteer to do weekly analytics.
>>>
>>> elinux.org only shows monthly shipments, with little clue around demand
>>> and back order situation.  It is nice to know that "circuitco is in full
>>> production" but we need to provide lots more facts.
>>>
>>> Dr. Anil Gupta
>>>
>>>
>>> On Wed, Feb 19, 2014 at 2:35 AM, David Anders <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>
>>>> as gerald stated, circuitco is in full production of the beaglebone
>>>> black and continues to ship daily to a wide range of distributors. these
>>>> distributors fill back-orders first before showing stock.
>>>>
>>>> http://elinux.org/Beagleboard:BeagleBoneBlack#Board_Shipments
>>>>
>>>> Dave
>>>>
>>>> On Tuesday, February 18, 2014 1:46:30 AM UTC-6, [email protected]:
>>>>>
>>>>> I have been looking for 3+ weeks and unable to find any stock anywhere.
>>>>>
>>>>> Is there a way to see the order backlog with Circuitco and current
>>>>> supply capability?  Is the issue getting better or worse? (My anecdotal
>>>>> experience suggests it may be getting worse.)  The current situation is
>>>>> frustrating.  If the news is bad, let us know it early and deal with it.
>>>>>  Right now, there is no data at all.
>>>>>
>>>>> Gerald: thanks for your timely and open updates.
>>>>>
>>>>> On Wednesday, February 12, 2014 1:25:00 AM UTC+5:30, Gerald wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> We are focused on the community. Feel free to build it yourself
>>>>>> however. All the materials to build it are provided for free and you 
>>>>>> don't
>>>>>> have to pay any development costs.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Gerald
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
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