Appreciate the figures of 700/day on supply and 140,000 on back orders (200 days of supply.. phew!).
This is an awesome product. What you saw until October was just people trying it out. They've concluded it is a good product and are ordering it in greater quantities. That is where we are and I hear similar stories from others. An order build up of 140,000 in two months, even with supply of 700/day suggests an incoming demand of *3500+ per day.* I believe you will see this kind of demand continue. None of these buyers want to get into manufacturing--Circuitco is good at it. It would be a shame to see a great product go sideways due to supply issues. Given that the main constraint is lead time for some components: if sweeteners such as expedite fees can help, I think the community won't mind a higher price.. say $48 or $50, to ensure a demand-supply balance. On Friday, February 21, 2014 9:01:54 AM UTC+5:30, Gerald wrote: > > We did this. A year ago when we launched the product. Things were fine > until roughly October. Demand has risen due to people > using boards in products They never told anyone about > their pending demand. They thought the boards just magically appear in the > cabbage patch. > > We build to distributor orders and schedules. We are close to getting out > of this. > > I appreciate your offer of help. But this is not just a analytic problem. > It is a data problem. We have plugged the data into the formula and > are adjusting to that new data and working to fill the pipeline and to get > orders shipped. > > Gerald > > > On Thu, Feb 20, 2014 at 9:21 PM, Anil Gupta <[email protected]<javascript:> > > wrote: > >> Dave, >> Gerald, >> >> From my experience with product fulfillment: a good plan would establish >> a target date when the product would be broadly available in the market >> with only occasional shortages. A key to this is to show back orders as a >> % of weekly production, and whether back orders are reducing or increasing >> as we fulfill back orders and receive new orders each week. There would be >> a weekly review of whether the target date is likely to be met, production >> plan and any changes, and a new date, if needed. Sudden orders and other >> unexpected situations are common in all kinds of fulfillment situations and >> there are lots of good systems to deal with this. >> >> I am happy to volunteer to do weekly analytics. >> >> elinux.org only shows monthly shipments, with little clue around demand >> and back order situation. It is nice to know that "circuitco is in full >> production" but we need to provide lots more facts. >> >> Dr. Anil Gupta >> >> >> On Wed, Feb 19, 2014 at 2:35 AM, David Anders >> <[email protected]<javascript:> >> > wrote: >> >>> as gerald stated, circuitco is in full production of the beaglebone >>> black and continues to ship daily to a wide range of distributors. these >>> distributors fill back-orders first before showing stock. >>> >>> http://elinux.org/Beagleboard:BeagleBoneBlack#Board_Shipments >>> >>> Dave >>> >>> On Tuesday, February 18, 2014 1:46:30 AM UTC-6, [email protected]: >>>> >>>> I have been looking for 3+ weeks and unable to find any stock anywhere. >>>> >>>> Is there a way to see the order backlog with Circuitco and current >>>> supply capability? Is the issue getting better or worse? (My anecdotal >>>> experience suggests it may be getting worse.) The current situation is >>>> frustrating. If the news is bad, let us know it early and deal with it. >>>> Right now, there is no data at all. >>>> >>>> Gerald: thanks for your timely and open updates. >>>> >>>> On Wednesday, February 12, 2014 1:25:00 AM UTC+5:30, Gerald wrote: >>>>> >>>>> We are focused on the community. Feel free to build it yourself >>>>> however. All the materials to build it are provided for free and you >>>>> don't >>>>> have to pay any development costs. >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> Gerald >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >> -- >> For more options, visit http://beagleboard.org/discuss >> --- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "BeagleBoard" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to [email protected] <javascript:>. >> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. >> > > -- For more options, visit http://beagleboard.org/discuss --- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "BeagleBoard" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.
