--- Russell Chapman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I think the original implication was that Pax > Americana will be over, > and the US will not the dominant superpower it is > today. Either the US > will have regressed significantly in world standing, > or there will be a > formation of a new force stronger than the US, or > some combination of both. > To my mind, the most likely scenario is that > terrorism will run out of > control until the US of 2023 is unrecognisable as > the US we know today, > but all Andrew needs to win his bet is for the US to > be no longer > able/willing to project its power globally (as per > Rome in 500AD, Great > Britain in 1945 etc). > > Cheers > Russell C.
The phrase used was "crash spectacularly", I believe, which would seem to imply more than the above - but I would take that bet, too. In 2023 the US will still be the world's dominant power and able to project its power globally - an even harder bet for me to win than Andrew's, which would seem to require that the US do no more than suffer only slow decline for me (and everyone else who's taken him up on his generous offer) to win. Gautam __________________________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Tax Center - File online, calculators, forms, and more http://tax.yahoo.com _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
