----- Original Message ----- From: "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Wednesday, January 14, 2004 7:37 PM Subject: Re: Double Standards on Regional Bigotry
> At 05:50 PM 1/14/2004 -0600 Dan Minette wrote: > >So, in 14 years under Republican rule, blacks lost about half a percent. > >In 8 years under Democratic rule, they gained over 30%. It seems to me that > >deciding that the Democrats are better for them than Republicans is > >straightforward. > > And these numbers are relevant, how? > > I guess that they are relevant if you really truly believe that Al Gore > invented the Internet, and if you believe that the recessions of '82, '91, > and '01 were all the Republicans' fault. If only we had Democratic > Presidents, then I am sure that we would never have had recessions and the > 1990's asset bubble would have last forever, eh? No, but the recovery would be much more broad based. I realize that in ecconomics one can always argue coincidence, but its happening again. Its been happening for over 80 years John. I'd be happy to calculate how probable that is from pure chance, but I don't think any numbers could change your mind. > And of course, I would also point out that it takes some pretty interesting > temporal dynamics to use economic results from the Clinton years to explain > voting patterns that have held for the past 30 years. The _only_ exception to this was that Ford and Carter were close, with Carter just being slightly better. But, Johnson was way better than Nixon for blacks. Its going to continue, too. I predict that, during the present recovery, blacks will not outpace whites in economic gains the way they did with Clinton (i.e. catching up). So far, they are losing ground faster than whites, which is not a good sign. In fact, I'll be willing to wager with you, John, that during the remainder of Bush's term, the mean income of blacks does not get back up to the 65% of white mean income that they achieved under Clinton. Dan M. Dan M. Dan M. _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
