At 02:06 PM 9/7/2004 +1000 Andrew Paul wrote:
>I still want someone to tell me what Iraq has to do with terrorism,
>Or 'had' to do with terrorism, as it may well have a lot to do with it
>in the future. I wish people would stop saying terrorism and Iraq in
>the same sentence, or else explain, with the addition of some evidence.>

I've addressed this many times on the List, but here is a quick summary:

1) Following September 11th, it was clear that letting failed States fester
posed a threat to the United States.   Back in 1994, it would not have been
obvious that Taliban-occupied Afghanistan was a threat to the United States
- but this country would go on to produce the most devastating attack on
the United States in 50+ years.

2) Following September 11th, if terrorists were able to kill thousands
using airplanes, it immediately became worrisome as to how many thousands
could be killed through the use of WMD's.    Saddam Hussein had twice come
within a year or so of building a nuclear bomb in 1981 and again in 1991.
Moreover, Western intelligence services had been previously caught
completely by surprises in 1991, again in India and Pakistans several years
later, again in the DPRK in 2001, and then again in Iran in 2003.   Given
that intelligence could not be relied upon to predict when a nuclear bomb
would be imminent, pre-emptive action was necessary due to the tremendous
downside of letting Hussein go nuclear.

3) The primary grievance of Osama bin Laden was the permanent placement of
US troops in Saudi Arabia - a strategic necessity so long as Saudi Arabia
continued to supply the plurality of the world's oil and so long as Saddam
Hussein remained in power on Saudi Arabia's border.   Eliminating Saddam
Hussein would permit the US to begin to defuse this grievance.

4) The September 11th attacks were carried out by a large number of Saudis
- apparently iun large part due to #3, and probably also in large part in
reaction to the tyranny in their own country.  This necessitated working
for reform, if not regime change in Saudi Arabia - something that was
impossible so long as US troops were stationed in Saudi Arabia.   Removing
Saddam Hussein would permit us to take stronger gambles with pressuring
Saudi Arabia for change.

5) Two of the primary sources of Arab outrage against the US are the
continued occupation of the Palestinian people by Israel and the
impoverishment of the Iraqi people under Saddam Hussein and UN Sanctions -
both of which are often blamed on the US.   Removing Saddam Hussein would
eliminate a funding source for Palestinian terrorism - the single greatest
obstacle to peace there, as well as ending  the UN sanctions on the Iraqi
people and leading to their eventual relative economic prosperity.

6) Removing Saddam Hussein and installing a semi-liberal democracy in Iraq
ala Turkey or Bangladesh would serve as a kernal for reform in one of the
most totalitarian regions of the world - which not coincidentally is also
the wellspring of most of the world's terrorism.

JDG

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