Robert J. Chassell wrote:
>For example, I have heard it said that in areas in which electronic
>voting occurred without a paper trail, Bush gained an advantage of
>around +5% when comparing exit polls to actual results, but that in
>areas in which electronic voting included a paper trail, exit polls
>and actual results were similar within a percent or so.
"John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> responded
This is very suspicious. Exit polls were only conducted in @1200
precincts. So far as I know, exit poll results were not released by
precincts.
This does not answer the question: of those exit polls which can be
matched to actual results, what is the comparison?
Secondly, it should be pointed out that the exit polls have been wrong
before. Indeed, the exit polls were wrong in 2000.
I have heard it said that exit polls were right before 2000 and only
became wrong after audit-less voting became widespread. I do not know
whether this is true or not. But this is the issue.
Thirdly, it should be pointed out that those "early exit polls"
are akin to a halftime football score or 4th-inning baseball score
...
Yes, I have also heard that Democrats tend to vote later in the day,
so that "early exit polls" will tend to favor Republicans. Again, I
do not know. Nor do I know how accurate exit polls are (although
obviously, voting is far more predictable than games, which are
designed to be somewhat unpredicatable).
As a rhetorical strategy, your response fails. I would expect you to
want me and others to decide the election is legitimate. By offering
a response that does not answer the question, you exacerbate the
problem.
Let me re-ask the question: of those exit polls that can be matched
to actual results, what is the comparison between auditable results
and exit polls on the one hand and un-auditable results and exit polls
on the other?
And let me re-ask my other question, too: is it true or false that in
areas with paper ballots, which are always auditable, voting results
matched voter registrations more closely than in areas with electronic
ballots (which may or may not have included a paper audit trail)?
--
Robert J. Chassell
[EMAIL PROTECTED] GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
http://www.rattlesnake.com http://www.teak.cc
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