Doug Pensinger wrote,

    > An optimist -- and I am still an optimist -- will argue that in
    > spite of forgone opportunities, the USA could help create a more
    > civilized and sustainable world.

    Excellent post, Robert ...

Thanks!  It grew out of the discussion between Dan Minette and Nick
Arnett on various paradigms throughout history.  (The initial thread
was `Liberal Capitalist Fundamentalism' which became `three paradigm
shifts?'.)

    ... Maybe we can still do all the things you suggest, but it will
    require a sea change in attitude from where we seem to be right
    now.

That requirement is for sure.  But I am hoping that will happen.  My
optimism depends on changes both on the technical side and on the
social or political side.

Hence, von Neuman replicators that manufacture, and government that
protects and preserves our environment.

As for the consequences of the discussion, I am busy with my first
science fiction novel.  It inspired more writing.

(The book is a socioeconomic proposal disguised as an adventure and
detective story.  It is what I would have liked to have read when I
was 13 or 14.  Of course, there are problems, big problems.  For one,
few others have the same interests I do.  So its potential audience
will be small.  I just don't know whether it will be too small.  We
shall see.  And in any case, I am not a story teller.

(When the time comes, I will seek critiques, but the book is not there
yet.)

Besides my immediate problem, which is running out of money -- I was
not paid for some work I did earlier, I am wondering whether the
fellow has the money (if any of you have renumerative projects I can
do, please tell me) -- the discussion and your remarks inspired me to
write a thousand words more.  Here they are.

  Filgard is a farmer whom Djem (pronounced in English, `Gem') and
  Leestel are visiting.

  On a totally different matter, not on paradigms, are my remarks on
  cows accurate?  As a young child I was a cowherd, but have forgot
  everything in the years since.


    ... Filgard stopped pushing and the rock stopped moving.  He said,
    "Aristotle was right.  When you stop pushing a rock, the rock
    stops."  This was not what Djem thought when he stopped pushing,
    but he had to agree, Filgard was right.

    The farmer kept talking, "Newton came along ... and distinguished
    between inherent idleness and the retardation you get from rubbing
    -- he extended the notions as metaphors or maybe he used existing
    metaphors and made them famous.  He called the two concepts
    inertia and friction.  So rocks without friction, like this
    planet, kept moving; and rocks with friction, like this one here,"
    he patted the rock, "stop."

    "Aristotle had confounded the two ideas."  Filgard looked at Djem,
    "Aristotle probably had slaves to push the rocks.  They would stop
    whenever they could.  They would act dumb and pretend to worry too
    much.  By acting stupid, they could hurt their kidnapper without
    endangering themselves.

    "Humph!  Acting stupid enabled a slave to be more idle than he
    would be otherwise.  I bet idleness is the part of it that
    Aristotle noticed.  He thought that idleness was a natural state
    of being.  But Newton pointed out that rocks on a planet suffer
    retardation because they rub against the soil."

    Filgard kept following his train of thought.  "Newton came to
    distinguish inertia and friction.  Newton's Laws are wrong; we
    know that.  Still, his notions are good enough for much
    interplanetary work.  Most of the time, you do not have to employ
    Einstein's ideas.  And Aristotle's Laws, which I doubt anyone
    thinks of, work fine for pushing stones."

    Filgard stopped for a moment.  "There is much more to it than
    that," he said.  "Newton was articulating a paradigm shift.  There
    were lots of little shifts, but I think he explicated the first
    big shift since the transition from the pre-agricultural era to
    pre-industrial agriculture."  He stopped for a moment.  "In our
    culture, I think Aristotle explicated the previous paradigm shift,
    or Plato and Aristotle did, the one idealistic and the other not.
    I am sure that other agricultural cultures had their own men
    articulate appropriate paradigms."

    "What were the characteristics of this paradigm?" Leestel asked.

    Filgard explained, "Newton put an emphasis on non-living things,
    like planets as dots in space.  Because his equations could, in
    theory, be calculated exactly, the paradigm favored determinism."

    He looked at Djem as well as Leestel.  "It had definite
    theological implications.  It affected how people interpreted
    their numinous experiences.

    "Besides deterministic Calvinism, which preceded Newton by a very
    long time, his Laws articulated a change in his culture's
    relationship with its God:  omnipotence got limited.  The
    mathematical correlation with reality made God as subject to
    natural law as humans are to kingly or legislative law.

[I don't say it in the draft, but I have heard that for the past 600
or so years, various Muslim theologians have said that their God is
omnipotent and unrestrained.  Does anyone know whether this is true?]

    "No one thought this way at the time, but I have to imagine the
    west European concept of God as a great artificial intelligence.
    He runs a simulation in which we are a part.  When you don't
    consider Newton, the AI can reprogram the world heedlessly.  When
    you do bear him in mind, a break in the simulation's `consistency
    rules' makes for a miracle."

    The farmer smiled.  "Incidently, there is no way we can show
    whether we are or are not living in a simulation:  Plank's length,
    which is really small, does appear to be a characteristic of our
    universe; that means it is digital, but at a very high resolution.
    And Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle means we cannot measure as
    precisely as Newton's analogue universe suggests!

    Filgard surveyed the pond and the land around it.  "The rocks
    should go here."  He pointed to three spots.  Djem's stone was not
    far from his spot at all.  Leestel's was farthest.  After pushing
    his rock to his spot, Djem helped Leestel.  He noticed his was
    breathing heavily and sweating some, but not painfully.  He could
    not have done this on Earth.

    "Returning to Newton ..." Filgard was obviously intent on
    continuing, "what happens to apples, planets, and the like, his
    rules for gravity, are invisible directly.  You have to observe
    and record the skies.  You cannot simply see.

    "Many years after him, other invisibilities became important, like
    fast non-living machines that could be understood only when
    slowed.  When slowed, and with the right mind-set, you could see
    how they worked.  Direct human observation succeeds some of the
    time.  But at other times you can only imagine.  You need to
    pretend that invisible electric currents flow in certain solids.
    You can see water flow in a hollow pipe, but not electricity in a
    wire.

    ... In the latter Middle Ages, it took generations for eye glasses
    to become acceptable; and telescopes and microscopes weren't
    invented for [many] years.  I wonder if that acceptance did more
    than enable older artisans to see their work as well feel it?  Did
    it show that the invisible or hard to see could become visible?"

    Filgard paused momentarily.  "The paradigm following Newton, the
    one we enjoy now, required the ending of certainty -- not merely
    the ending of practical certainty, which Newton's followers always
    accepted, but the ending of theoretical certainty, the ending of
    determinism.

    "In a sense," Filgard said, "insurance deals with uncertainty.
    Hah!  Insurance was sold long before Newton!  But the implications
    weren't felt for the longest time.  I think Darwin was among the
    first; at least, among the first to articulate the feelings well.

    "In the 19th century, Darwin noted that the individuals of a
    biological species were different from one another.  Others has
    seen this for [millenia], but they had not followed through.
    (Indeed, as Darwin himself pointed out, he was not the first; but
    he was the first to publicize the issue well and at the right
    time.)  Darwin applied probability to living populations and
    discovered his ... Laws of Evolution.

    He started them walking.  "Time to go back to the farm house,"
    said Filgard.  They took a different route, this time past cows
    fenced in a large field. ... Several cows recognized the farmer
    and came up to him.  He patted their noses; so did Leestel, and
    with a bit of trepidation, Djem.  Filgard then give each a carrot
    he took out of a pocket.  "They are like horses, but more stupid,"
    he said.

    "Returning to the modern paradigm," Filgard said, "in that same
    19th century, once the concept of atoms became an acceptable idea,
    all atoms of the same mass and species were perceived as identical
    except for position and velocity.  Probabilities were applied to
    those parts that differed, which led to the discovery of
    thermodynamics."

    Djem felt dizzy.  He decided that his paradigm was Newtonian, with
    a touch of post-Newtonian, insurance-style thinking.  He had not
    expected to hear this at a farm.

    ...

    Filgard spoke again, more to himself than the others.  "I wonder
    whether the notion of feedback is essential, too?"  He pondered.

    Djem plunged in.  "A rat is unlike a billiard ball, which goes
    where it is hit.  It will seldom cooperate with you."  He smiled.
    Leestel imagined that he had worked with rats in school and found
    them difficult.

    Filgard looked up.  "That's right!  To be able to think in terms
    of living beings, that is what the notion of feedback makes
    possible.  Engineers had used cybernetics long before it was
    properly discussed.  The speed control that Watt invented for his
    steam engine is an example, as is the thermostat.  But the notion
    did not go anywhere.  You had to be a genius to apply it.

    "Feedback is not probability.  I don't think you need feedback to
    understand quantum mechanics.  On the other hand, you do need it
    to understand Darwin's laws of evolution -- without understanding
    feedback, you cannot understand selection.  I guess the notion is
    essential.

    "Anyhow, my point is," this time, Filgard came to a conclusion,
    "we are living in a world with yet a different paradigm from
    Aristotle or Newton."

    Djem concluded Filgard was the oddest farmer he had ever met.

Dan and Nick, may I mention your names in the Thank You section?  At
the moment that section consists only of:

    Thank You

    My thanks to Mohd-Hanafiah Abdullah for suggesting names.

    My thanks to my sister, Karen Chassell Ringwald, for suggesting a
    guide to pronunciation.

--
    Robert J. Chassell
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]                         GnuPG Key ID: 004B4AC8
    http://www.rattlesnake.com                  http://www.teak.cc
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