On 5 May 2007 at 9:59, Dan Minette wrote:

> 
> 
> 
> > As for Bangledesh and the like -- the fear is not of a multi-decade
> > rise in sea level, but of a typhoon or hurricane surge that is higher
> > than those in the past.  The increase in height need not be much, just
> > enough to cause survivors to leave the coast rather than stay.
> 
> That's true...but the evidence supporting global warming causing stronger
> hurricanes is far weaker than that supporting global warming.  It's mixed at
> the moment, and very open to interpretation.  A large number of good
> scientists fall on both sides of this debate.

...Changes in temperature at sea level have a strong effect. What 
effect, well. I know what I believe from the actual results we're 
seeing.

> Yes...but heat differential and wind sheer are also critical factors....and
> models indicate that heat differential should stay fairly constant and that
> shear will rise with temperatures....which inhibits the formation of large
> hurricanes.

Yes, and that supports the real problem - it rains more than ever in 
many situations being observed today. But, the rain stays at sea. 
This is from observations over the last decade...

AndrewC
Dawn Falcon

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