Hi Billy,

On Jan 4, 2010, at 5:10 PM, [email protected] wrote:
> Ernie:
> I have no idea whatsoever what the prediction you sent actually says.
>  
> We are doomed to governance by the wet behind the ears set ?
> Banks will be replaced by borrowing from your buddies ?
> Math-based courses will become obsolete and from now on
> most school classes will be touhcy-feely  group gropes ?
>  
> Well, I have a hunch these exaggerations are not the intention,
> but there is a sense where you can interpret things this way.

Only if "you" are being curmudgeonly. Which is my prediction for 2010: that you 
will be. :-)

> But the idea of predictions for 2010 is a good one.
> How about a call to RC-ists for one "best guess" forecast for 2010 ?
> Deadline for entries, January  15 ?  Sound like a plan ?
> Might be fun.

Go for it.  As for me, let me rephrase/summarize that previous prediction as 
follows.

----
During the 20th Century, organizational theory and corporate behavior was 
driven by:

a) The need to manage a Scarcity of Information

b) A Newtonian World View + Physics Envy that idolized hard numbers above 
everything else

c) A sharp distinction between high-level "thinkers" and low-level "doers", 
which for the latter reinforced a clear separation between "work" and "life."

In the 21st Century, corporations will "rediscover" the value of actual human 
relationships in building effective organizations.  This will percolate 
throughout the decade, but eventually lead to a dramatic rethinking of the 
foundational assumptions of traditional management thinking.  While there will 
no doubt be some excesses such as you postulate, the more common outcome will 
be integrating "softer" studies like sociology and anthropology alongside the 
"hard" disciplines like finance and marketing.
----

- Ernie P.

>  
> Billy
>  
> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>  
>  
> In a message dated 1/4/2010 2:33:42 P.M. Pacific Standard Time, 
> [email protected] writes:
> :-)
> 
> -enp
> 
> http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/NussbaumOnDesign/archives/2009/12/5_predications.html
> 
>> 2- Radical Remodeling:
>> 
>> The social media form of organization found in Facebook and Twitter spread 
>> to business, healthcare, education and, politics. This is Gen Y’s technology 
>> platform and the 16-27 year-old demographic cohort take social media with it 
>> as it takes power and moves through it’s life cycle.
>> 
>> Design Thinking, behavioral economics, social media, social business, and 
>> new military strategy flow into a new paradigm of organization, process and 
>> action. A culture-centric, behavior-focussed model replaces the current 
>> rationalistic, math-based, theoretical economic model. Bye-bye to the 
>> Chicago school of economics. Hello Harvard.
>> 
>> The valuation of “friendships” and relationships in general begins to 
>> replace the value of transactions in the economy. Personal networks will 
>> increasingly determine wealth.
>> 
>> New consultancies spread the word in business culture and healthcare.
>> 
>> The Ford Foundation sponsors a complete overhaul of the MBA curriculum to 
>> reskill business school graduates, with a special focus on ethnography, 
>> sociology and design thinking.
> 
> 
> =
> 
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