Hi Billy,

My take...

On Apr 22, 2010, at 12:06 PM, [email protected] wrote:
> It makes for great political theatre and talk show fodder, of course. The 
> politicians get to huff and puff and pretend they're getting tough on the 
> "fat cat" bankers -- as President Obama surely will in a major speech in New 
> York today -- even as they continue to play footsie with their benefactors.

Largely true, but also largely irrelevant, I think. Attacking politicians and 
financiers are both easy.

> In this battle between the high-powered, well-heeled interests of Wall Street 
> and the increasingly disenchanted, homeless and jobless folks on Main Street, 
> I'm betting the suspender brigade will prevail yet again.
> 
> That's not to say there aren't some fairly simple, straightforward fixes for 
> the very serious regulatory gaps that got Wall Street into deep doo doo in 
> the first place. Here are three simple ideas that could have been included in 
> the financial reform package, but weren't:
> 
> - Banks that are too big to fail are clearly too big, period. If the U.S. 
> won't allow its financial giants to go bust -- a principle that's hard to 
> dispute, since the assets of the six largest U.S. banks equal more than 60 
> per cent of GDP (Gross Domestic Product) -- they should be forced to spin off 
> divisions or break up, just as Standard Oil and American Telephone & 
> Telegraph did in past decades.
> 
> So set a cap on bank-asset size, and force banks that exceed that limit to 
> shrink. One U.S. financial writer suggests a cap of $400 billion, or about 
> 2.5 per cent of U.S. GDP. Assets above that benchmark would be taxed.
> 
> Wall Street hates this idea, naturally, and argues it's either unnecessary, 
> or too tough to pull off.
> 
> Nonsense. All those math geeks who created CDOs and God-knows-what-else are 
> surely smart enough to figure out how to do an IPO.

This is a popular measure, and would avoid this specific problem of "too big to 
fail."  Unfortunately, the unintended consequence of this is likely that the 
federal government would have to get *more* intrusive, to provide the sort of 
AIG-like insurance that the private sector used to provide.  Worse, many banks 
would end up making other arrangements in order to gain "effective scale", 
leading to a more tangled version of what we have to today.

It wasn't purely ego that drove massive bank consolidation, it was market 
forces.  And stopping a symptom without understanding those forces is likely to 
make things (eventually) worse.

> - Annual executive compensation -- whether in the form of cash or stock -- 
> should also be capped at a clearly defined level, to discourage the 
> inordinate short-term risk-taking that's so pervasive on Wall Street.
> 
> Corporate execs and compensation consultants -- who get paid by, uh, the same 
> execs they advise (no conflict there, I'm sure) -- insist that it's 
> incredibly complex to measure fair pay, and a pay ceiling would be hopelessly 
> simplistic.
> 
> Hogwash. Here's a simple way to address that. Set a yearly pay limit of, say, 
> $5 million -- as one U.S. financial writer suggests -- and require 
> shareholders to approve any packages above that level. If the execs perform, 
> and shareholders are duly rewarded, higher pay shouldn't be an issue.

Purely feel-good measures, wouldn't change anything.  Shareholders already 
routinely approve riduculous pay packages, and short-term thinking is a 
systemtic issue that one cap won't fix.

> - Wall Street investment houses like Goldman Sachs don't make their huge 
> profits by lending money to small and mid-sized businesses. That's left to 
> the commercial banks.
> 
> Goldman is a trading juggernaut. Through its so-called prop trading 
> activities, it moves huge blocks of stock in the blink of an eye, making tiny 
> profits on enormous volumes. Its high-speed electronically-driven trades give 
> it a huge edge over regular retail investors.
> 
> None of this adds value to the real economy, or helps regular businesses to 
> expand or hire staff. It's a giant money-sucking mechanism that benefits a 
> privileged few.
> 
> Solution: Impose a small tax on such transactions.
> 
> "You can't make it illegal, because market-makers have always used their 
> order-flow knowledge as part of their business, but you can tax it enough to 
> make it unprofitable," argues Martin Hutchinson of the Permanent Wealth 
> Investor.
> 
> "The margins on this business are tiny, so a tax of five cents per share on 
> equities and equivalent amounts on bonds and derivatives should be ample, and 
> one cent would probably be enough."
> 
> As a further advantage, such a tax would "tilt the playing field" away from 
> program trading, and back toward more socially and economically useful 
> activities, he says.
> 
> Now, that's what I'd call a revolutionary concept.

This one I actually like.   We do need to introduce more friction into finance, 
if only to remind them they exist to serve the "real" economy.

-- Ernie P.


> 
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