Even, if it is highly unlikely. http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/politics/2004_ELECTIONGUIDE_GRAPHIC/
I have been playing with the Interactive 20004 Election Guide at NYTimes.com posted here last week. If one was to go to the "Presidential Calculator" under the "The Presidential Race" menu on the left, one can play "what if" games with the possible election results. What I find interesting is under very specific conditions, it is possible for the Electoral College to be in a 269 to 269 tie. For this result to happen several factors must come into play. First of all, Colorado and Nebraska must allow the splitting of their votes. Then, of the current uncommitted states (as listed on this site): NM, IA, WI, MI, OH and FL; Ohio and Florida go to Bush and the other four go to Kerry. Finally, if one where to make Colorado and Nebraska only partly Bush (pink instead of red), this would result in a 269 to 269 tie. Now I couldn't even begin to calculate how small the odds of this series of events to come true are. But I think it would be a very interesting result. With out these shenanigans, the real result is that of the currently undecided states as listed on this site Kerry must get one of the following combinations to win. 1) Florida, Michigan and one of New Mexico, Iowa or Wisconsin or Florida with the other three without Michigan 2) Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin or Ohio, Michigan, New Mexico and Iowa In other words Ohio and Florida are the key states. If both go to one candidate then that one wins; but if they are split, how the other four states vote will be the determining factor. This of course assumes that all the other states vote as expected and there are no states that split their votes. Either of these results opens a whole host or alternate scenarios. -------------- Ian Skinner Web Programmer BloodSource www.BloodSource.org Sacramento, CA "C code. C code run. Run code run. Please!" - Cynthia Dunning Confidentiality Notice: This message including any attachments is for the sole use of the intended recipient(s) and may contain confidential and privileged information. Any unauthorized review, use, disclosure or distribution is prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender and delete any copies of this message. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Sams Teach Yourself Regular Expressions in 10 Minutes by Ben Forta http://www.houseoffusion.com/banners/view.cfm?bannerid=40 Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:132558 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
