Ian Skinner wrote: > so why are they all over here? Enquiring minds want to know :) > > Dana > > I expect they are afraid that Florida and Ohio will be split, meaning that New > Mexico becomes very important to get that final margin combined with Iowa, Minnesota > and Wisconsin. And since New Mexico is so close that it's a real toss up! > > That's my deeply expert analysis anyways. :-) >
From http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html First - if Kerry wins Florida, the election is over - he wins. Kerry can also win by taking Ohio plus one of the smaller states. In the other direction, Bush must win not only Florida, but also either Ohio or all of the smaller states. In light of these facts, the Saletan piece (see below) indicates that the Bush campaign's actions may amount to a defensive move - otherwise why give up on Ohio? -- 2004 - The year $184M couldn't buy a pennant. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Get the mailserver that powers this list at http://www.houseoffusion.com/banners/view.cfm?bannerid=17 Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:132756 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
