> > From http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html > > First - if Kerry wins Florida, the election is over - he wins. Kerry can > also win by taking Ohio plus one of the smaller states. In the other > direction, Bush must win not only Florida, but also either Ohio or all > of the smaller states. In light of these facts, the Saletan piece (see > below) indicates that the Bush campaign's actions may amount to a > defensive move - otherwise why give up on Ohio? >
Blah forgot to cut and paste the piece Bush wins FL - 88% chance of victory. Bush loses FL - 20% chance of victory. ------- Bush wins OH - 72% chance of victory. Bush losses OH - 40% chance of victory. -- 2004 - The year $184M couldn't buy a pennant. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Purchase from House of Fusion, a Macromedia Authorized Affiliate and support the CF community. http://www.houseoffusion.com/banners/view.cfm?bannerid=34 Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:132761 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
