Gruss Gott wrote:
  > This is where I disagree with Won a bit - we don't have a recession,
> but it's hard to look at the debt and spending numbers and see how in
> the long run this will help us.  This is why I'm skeptical of Mr.
> Bush's policy.  It seems like a great short term idea that's spun out
> of control.
> 

I just want to write that I don't think we are in a recession.  We came 
out of a recession in 2003.  I'm also skeptical of Bush's ability to 
lead the US into prosperity.  Just like some guys are good at bringing a 
company out of bankruptcy, President Bush brought the US out of 
recession.  Once the distressed company has cleared the final huddles of 
bankruptcy, it's time for a new CEO to step in.  I think Kerry could 
have been that man.  Even Anne Coultier was quoted in Time as saying, "A 
[John] Kerry presidency would have been better for business...".  She 
does finish her quote that she believes that Bush reduces her chances of 
being killed by Islamic terrorists.  So I guess her credibility as an 
economist is rather suspect.

> My analogy is this: let's say your best friend is jobless but wants
> your lifestyle.  You make $150k/yr.  You get him a job that pays
> $50k/yr and then show him how bank loans work.  He takes out $50k/yr
> loans that aren't due for 10 years.
> 
> Is he living good today? Yup.  Might he earn enough to pay off his
> loans when they come due?  Yup.  Is this fiscally smart?  Nope.


It's tough to argue with this.  The only postive thing I can write is 
that at least we are borrowing when the money is cheap.  Maybe hope that 
we took out that 50K loan to go to Med School or something.  Although 
the consumer debt being so high would strongly argue that isn't the 
correct analogy to use.  Sigh.  Hopefully we can get our act together 
once it get's expensive to borrow.



-- 
2004 - The year $184M couldn't buy a pennant.


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