Gruss Gott wrote:
> Jochem wrote:
>> In terms of the real economy it doesn't mean anything, it is just numbers.
> 
> The problem is that, as Robert pointed out, State and city governments
> have been promising to pay their employees pensions that they can't
> currently afford for decades.  At some point this has to catch up with
> them and that point is here.

Why is that point here? What is the magical number that decides that it is 
going to happen *now*?


> The first wave of cities heading for default began about 5 years ago
> when cities had to stop hiring and forego necessary work in order to
> pay their pension obligations.  That will increase to the point where
> the cities and states can no longer conduct daily business and then a
> default will occur.
> 
> At that point the pensioners can sue the government or the government
> can come up with the money.
>
> In order to come up with the money they either have to raise taxes or
> get a federal bailout which would come from federal taxes.

Would they get a federal bailout when they don't have bankrupcy protection? 
What exactly happens when a government gets bankrupcy protection?


> 1.) City and state persion and medical benefit default (starting) +

I don't see the bailout happen. Technically it is even questionable if a 
government can have a solvability crisis, or only a liquidity crisis.


> 2.) Corporate pension default (steel has happened, airlines in
> progress, then auto)

And that is very, very wrong on o so many levels.


> That, of course, also ignores the fact that the US already borrows $3
> billion a day to operate.  So where is the bailout money going to come
> from?

Taxes of course. But I don't see local and state governments being bailed out 
federally.

Jochem

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