> RoMunn wrote:
> Not directly, of course, but imagine if China stopped buying U.S. bonds,
> interests rates shot up, and the value of the dollar fell by 40-50%. I don't
> know if it would happen right away or if the fall would be that dramatic,

Well, not to get into all of this again but I'd say that China doesn't
need our money back as much as we need them to lend money to us.  What
we're doing is building China's infrastructure while we hallow out
ours.

Think of 2 factories: one is building machines, adding space, and
growing.  But it's selling to the second company.  The other is
selling it's machines and infrastructure in exchange for products from
the first.  And it buys those products on borrowed money - from the
first!

2 things can happen here:

1.) the first company grows large enough to make new products and sell
them to other customers.  This the "soft landing".  It would slowly
stop borrowing to the first and shift it's production.  In some ways
this has already begun with the US.

2.) The First company suddenly suspends sales and capital to the
second.  This hurts the first because sales fall, but they can shift
production.  The second, however, can do nothing except find  another
benefactor.

So, it's not like the "you owe the bank ..." saying.  It's really just
the hallowing out of the US economy which wouldn't be so dire if we
had the best education in the world and thus were poised to produce
the best ideas (creative economy).  But we're not.

Further we're facing a majority of our population who will soon not
only leave the economy to become spenders rather than earners, but
will slam the rest of us with a monstrous bill.

Maybe too gloom and doom, but I'm preparing for the worst and hoping
for the best.  With this President, however, that's tough!

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