You say that like we are ignorant of the underlying forces at work.
Well, we aren't. We have a great deal of geological evidence and we
understand a lot of the factors that make climates warm and cold. Yes,
there are big, broad changes that happen over hundres of thousands of
years. And accidents that can make dramatic effects as well, like
asteroid impacts. But the fact still remains that we understand how
increased carbon dioxide (and methane) changes the atmosphere on a
broad scale. And we understand that post-WWII industrialization has
produced a profound imbalance in our atmosphere. There is certainly a
great deal more to learn but by most accounts the science is quite
solid.

I can't help but remember 20 years ago when the debate was about
banning CFC's because of the Ozone layer. The amount of FUD coming out
of the anti-science circles was appalling and amazing to me. Just like
now. And you know what? The amtospheric scientists were right. And we
survived as an economy in spite of the doomsayers. And things got
better. And now we wonder what the big deal was in the first place.
Same thing happening now..wash, rinse, repeat.

Judah

On Mon, Dec 22, 2008 at 7:23 PM, Robert Munn <[email protected]> wrote:
> When the scale of historical measure is in the billions of years (the age of
> the Earth), 150 years IS an individual data point, that is one of the basic
> problems with climate change science.
>
> On Mon, Dec 22, 2008 at 7:17 PM, Judah McAuley <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> OMG COLD! OH NOEZ! W3RMING IS MYTHZ!
>>
>> Do you have any clue at all about the difference between an individual
>> point of datum and a trend? Do you think that your odds of getting
>> "heads" on the next coin flip are less or more than 50% when your
>> previous three times came up heads?
>
>
> 

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