My take on it thus far is this:

We didn't actually print all that much more money but instead borrowed
it. Borrowing money is other people betting that our GDP will continue
to grow, that we'll keep inflation relatively low and that the
increase in tax dollars coming in will make the debt worth something.

Printing money though is a different matter. Since we don't have a
gold standard or anything the "value" of the dollar is based roughly
on what our country produces. If we start printing a bunch of money
without an increase in the value of what our country produces, then
the "value" of the dollar decreases, which means inflation. It also
means that our debt being held abroad decreases in value which pisses
off a bunch of people that we'd prefer not to piss off. It would make
it easier for us to pay off that debt but if the value of what we are
giving them is not what they expect then people aren't going to be
buying our debt anymore, which puts us in a sticky situation.

US government debt is fairly liquid, there are plenty of people out
there to buy it...as of now. If people stopped buying our debt then
we'd run into the same sort of credit crunch that we have been dealing
with in the banking industry. The US has monetary obligations just
like companies do and like companies the revenue inflow isn't constant
and there is need to invest here and there to make things work and
grow.

So yes, we want to pay debt down but not in such a way that it means
that people don't want to buy our debt anymore because even with a
balanced budget (ha!) we'd still need access to debt markets. Printing
up a giant amount of money would threaten those markets by making the
dollar value plunge and also by causing volatility in other markets
that are pegged to the value of the dollar. That secondary effect
would probably mean that we'd cause such an upheaval elsewhere that
we'd *really* screw the market for our debt.

Anyway, that's my basic understanding on it. Take it with a grain of
salt as not only am I not an expert, I think that this is an area
where the "experts" aren't even really experts because the situation
is rare enough and the system complex enough that we don't have enough
data to really say exactly how it would go.

Judah

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