On Thu, Mar 25, 2010 at 3:23 PM, Robert Munn <[email protected]> wrote: > The facts are clear- people want health care reform, but overall they > don't like this bill and think Congress should have scrapped it and > started over with something simpler and more incremental. People are > hopping mad about this bill, and if you think they are mad now, just > wait until Obamacare-driven layoffs start this summer. If we were > flirting with a double-dip recession before, we're headed straight > into one now.
I think you are entirely misstating the favorability of this bill. Regardless, reconciliation should be passed tonight. Then we'll have 2 election cycles to figure out what people really think. Average loses in the House for the first midterm election after gaining control is 10-15 seats. Republicans need 40 to gain control. Given that the economy isn't doing the hottest, I wouldn't be surprised to see more than 15 pickups for the Republicans. If Democrats can keep the loses to about normal, say 15, then I don't think we'll hear much more about healthcare repeal from the Republican side. If R's pick up 30 to 40, I think you'll definitely see a continued push for repeal. If it is somewhere in between, I think the narrative will be muddled. Still, I think it was Gingrich who targeted February 2013 for repeal. That would be a significant shift in power but certainly not unprecedented. If this is the issue that Republicans decide is the one they are going to hit, then I guess we'll see what people think of it. Most politics are local, as they say, but it sounds like there is a wing of the Republican Party that wants to try and make this the big national issue. If they succeed, then we'll hear a verdict. Judah ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Want to reach the ColdFusion community with something they want? Let them know on the House of Fusion mailing lists Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:314072 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/unsubscribe.cfm
