On Tue, Mar 30, 2010 at 11:39 AM, LRS Scout <[email protected]> wrote:
> 6.  We require a balanced budget amendment.  You cannot spend more than you
> make.

This is the sort of thing that sounds good in theory but isn't very
good economics in practice. Though it depends on how you implemented
it, I suppose. I'd be fine if the budget was balanced over, say, a 10
year running period. But a single year? As a business person, I know
that sometimes it makes a hell of a lot of sense to borrow money today
to invest in something that I know is going to give me a positive ROI
in a year or two or three. Over a longer period of time those
investments have to be paid for, sure, but in the short term, yeah,
you are going to run a deficit. And if you cant' right the ship and
bring it back to positive cash flow then the dudes in charge need to
get replaced. Doesn't mean that the short term deficit is a bad idea
though.

When the economy tanks like it did recently, we would have to balance
it out by severely slashing programs and/or severely raising taxes.
Sudden changes in either of those things is likely to have a negative
effect on the economy, thus making things worse, thus making you have
to resort to those steps again. Wash, rinse, repeat. Not a good fiscal
idea.

Instead, you need to take advantage of credit capacity, borrow money
to cover short term issues, do some mild cutting of programs, mild
raising of taxes where appropriate and work on getting things going
again. Once they start taking off, you need to continue to trim
programs and raise taxes (if needed) to put things in the black and
start paying back debt.

Jud

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