I think Mitt gets the GOP nod but he chooses Tim Pawlenty for the Veep
spot. Allen West is an interesting choice and would give Biden a run
for gaffs but I think that after a long primary of tacking hard right
to try and appeal to primary voters, Romney will have to chose a more
centrist VP to reaffirm the non-threatening image that he's been
trying trying to run away from. West would satisfy social issues
voters on the right but do you think the general election will really
be fought on social issues?

I think Biden stays. Hillary is stepping down at the end of the term
but I think she'd do better stepping out of the limelight for a bit
and building elsewhere if she really wants to run in 2016.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Holden opt out of a second term (if Obama
wins) but I don't think he resigns in disgrace. Fast and Furious seems
like the mostly likely candidate to bring him down and I think they've
waded through the bulk of that and nothing big has stuck. I'm not
happy with his recent pronouncements on the legal rational for
extra-judicial killings and I'd love to see people keep fighting for
FOIA access to the real documents. But if torture didn't take down an
AG in the Bush admin, I just don't see how this would take down Holder
as much as I might like it to.

Affordable Care Act gets largely punted by the Supreme Court. They'll
rule the individual mandate constitutional, probably invalidate a
couple bits here and there and then say that a lot of it lacks
timeliness because the main provisions don't take effect until 2014
and you can't sue without showing injury.

I think Obama wins in the general election by at least 3% popular vote
and 100 electoral votes and, in particular, he takes Ohio which seals
the deal.

Democrats hold the Senate, barely, with Angus King stepping in as an
independent in Maine and caucusing with the Ds

Republicans hold the House but Democrats regain some of the ground
they lost in the mid-terms, picking up 20 seats.

Multi-national force heads to Syria. Status quo rules on Iran.

Cheers,
Judah

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