"Why do you think Romney is going to win? Most polls have Obama ahead, thought
it's a slight margin. Do you expect a late Romney rally??"


Next time you see one of the polls with Obama ahead, read the details.
 That is, if they publish them.  I have noticed that more and more polls
are hiding the details.

Here's an example:

a *CNN* poll released on Monday showed President Obama leading Mitt Romney
52 to 46. The problem is that this survey over-samples Democratic voters
and under-samples Independents which are leaning toward Romney by
double-digits. Out of 822 registered voters, 441 were Democrat and 397 were
Republicans which leaves only 37 independents in the poll!


So, 53% of the sample size are registered Democrats.

J

-

I disapprove of what you say, but I defend to the death your right to say
it. - Voltaire


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