On Wed, Mar 24, 2010 at 7:22 PM, Casey Dougall
<[email protected]> wrote:
>
> Let me state this as simple as I can...
>
> Flash is DEAD unless it's on the iPhone!
>
> Either get it on there or it's going to be Javascript and html5 or 8 out of
> 10 projects will be using javascript and html5 solutions, while Adobe goes
> down...

That's really not under Adobe's control, at this point.  Despite all
the talk from Apple about how they're working with Adobe on getting
Flash on the iPhone, and that as soon as it's both stable enough and
less power-hungry it will be, I don't think Flash will EVER be on the
iPhone.

A) I don't think Steve Jobs wants it on there.  For one thing, it can
eat into one of the things that will keep people from switching
phones: the app store. If you have Flash, then you have another way to
have applications (not bought through iTunes) on there.

B)  I think Apple believes Flash is a technology that is on its way
out.  Similar to what they've done on other products (e.g., not having
a floppy drive on the original iMac and not having an optical drive on
the Macbook Air), they're not supporting a technology that is
currently a standard but (in their eyes) has peaked and will be gone
in the future.

With B), of course, they may be making it a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Their refusal to support it on the iPhone is forcing sites to look at
alternatives (YouTube already has an HTML 5 beta version, and there
were reports this week that CBS.com was testing out an HTML 5 version
of their videos) which could quicken the abandonment of Flash.

Short of something killing the iPhone (and the new Windows Phone 7
Series phones won't help -- they also don't support Flash), I'm not
sure there's anything Adobe can do about it.

Scott

-- 
-----------------------------------------
Scott Brady
http://www.scottbrady.net/

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