"But focusing on 'which framework is more popular' and 'which framework
may go away' seems a bit silly."

I don't think so. The reason being is that I don't like wasting my time because 
if I don't use a thing everyday it doesn't get imprinted. For example - I've 
gotten semi proficient in java several times only to have the knowledge 
dissapear on account of lack of use.

Popularity would also be a good indicator of job prospect, which is a good 
indicator of how much money I can potentially make. Remember this ( for me ) 
about expending the least amount of energy for maximum results. 

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