- most of the numbers are in the hands of a minority

Which minority Omo?  That’s a very sweeping claim, care to clarify and back it 
up?

Btw, you say that Frank took a cheap shot….

Allocation policy is pretty clear – space allocated is meant to be used….  And 
while you sit and advocate for preservation of IPv4 space, will you lead by 
example and return the 75% of space your own organisation has had for 6 years 
and has never announced?

I can provide the prefix if you like, and the BGP Play data to back it up.

Or are you advocating its ok to stop others getting space to preserve it while 
you yourself sit on space that is in clear and total violation of the Ipv4 
allocation policies?

Andrew



From: Omo Oaiya [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: 28 October 2016 12:31
To: Owen DeLong <[email protected]>
Cc: General Discussions of AFRINIC <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [Community-Discuss] IPv4 depletion in AFRINIC will speed up IPv6 
adoption - myth or fact?



On 28 October 2016 at 09:21, Owen DeLong 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
There are a number of flaws in your question, Omo.

I neither support nor oppose IPv4 obsolescence. I state it as a fact. It is my 
considered opinion that when a protocol no longer fully serves the community of 
users it is intended to serve and/or requires those users to adapt to 
limitations on their use of the network in order to meet the needs of the 
protocol, that protocol is, by definition, obsolete and no longer able to meet 
the full needs of the user community.

This is simply fact.


English is not my native tongue but I understand obsolete to be different from 
deprecated

A protocol that is still more in use than the alternative and commands 
additional value in a secondary market cannot be referred to as obsolete by 
definition


IPv4 is no longer able to deliver the full feature set of the internet to the 
entire user community. It does not have enough addresses to give a unique peer 
address to every device attached to the internet.

If you can disprove this simple fact about IPv4, I welcome you to do so, but if 
not, then I again say that IPv4 is, by definition, obsolete.

Deprecated


There are lots of obsolete things still in widespread use. Some countries still 
use paper airline tickets

You use the word obsolete too loosely.
.

I also don’t favor accelerated runout of IPv4 in the AfriNIC region or anywhere 
else.

Good.  This is noted.

What I do favor is allocating addresses to those with need now without 
protecting those late to the party at the expense of those present at the party.

I see no reason to deprive an organization which needs addresses now in order 
to satisfy some demand from some other organization which may or may not exist 
at some future time.


Maybe in ARIN.  In AFRINIC, we have a situation where;

- most of the numbers are in the hands of a minority
- where those transitioning to IPv6 will need some IPv4 so accommodation has to 
be made for latecomers
- a global situation where IPv4 still rules even though IPv6 uptake is now on 
the rise ....slowly
- a local situation where we need to innovate and work collectively to speed up 
IPv6 uptake

I work for NRENs and universities, most of whom predate and will outlive most 
other organizations so don't agree with you.

 <snip>

I will also point out that working for Akamai does not mean that I will 
automatically agree with every conclusion any random person draws from data 
supplied by Akamai.

I asked you to refute not necessarily agree.  Do you have a view on the data 
that suggests different?


Now for some more substantive and targeted criticisms:

If we look at his slide 23 (IPv6 penetration vs Bandwidth), we see clearly that 
in some countries, the eyeball penetration vastly exceeds content and vice 
versa. This is obvious from the “outliers” on his graph and yet he makes no 
mention of this possible explanation whatsoever.

This is a fact.  Why is an explanation necessary?


I suspect that many (possibly all) of the countries on the far left side of 
that graph are countries not served by Netflix where the primary sources of 
internet content are not at all unlikely to be IPv4-only which places strong 
limitations on the ability of deployed IPv6-capable eye-balls to obtain their 
content overIPv6.

Your suspicion only buttresses the data and authors conclusion i.e that numbers 
on IPv6 penetration do not correlate with usage and IPv4 is still predominantly 
in use in these countries.



At the other end of the graph, it is likely representative of the reverse 
situation… IPv6 content available while a limited number of eye-balls have IPv6 
capabilities at this time.


yes, that only a handful of countries globally have the IPv6 capabilities and 
usage  the figures often touted would want us to believe.


The talk speaks to the relationship of GDP and IPv6 deployment and says nothing 
about whether or not exhaustion will drive migration.

Perhaps the author didn't think he was qualified or had the expertise to make 
this judgement.  Different in your case?



Owen

On Oct 27, 2016, at 3:58 PM, Omo Oaiya 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:


On 19 October 2016 at 10:20, Honest Ornella GANKPA 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

This is the way to go because from recent research I read on the Internet which 
makes it clear that IPv4 depletion does not lead to IPv6 uptake.  In fact, I am 
surprised that Owen Delong continues to advise that this is the way because the 
data was from Akamai which I hear he works for.  Please see attached slide.  
The presentation on the study was given at a recent LACNIC meeting - 
http://slides.lacnic.net/lacnic26/ - 
https://www.dropbox.com/s/zxmygx5djtj6cxl/4%20-%20IPv6-GDP.pptx?dl=0

Owen,

Honest has a point.  The author used the Akamai state of internet study as one 
of the data sources.  As a vocal proponent of accelerated IPv4 depletion in 
AFRINIC, what do you think of the opinions expressed in the study?

It certainly doesn't support obsolescence of IPv4 as you promote.  Btw, so we 
can compare, do you have any data that supports your view?

Like others,  I would like to see widespread v6 adoption but we do need to be 
careful to explain the stats we provide especially for those who advocate to 
other stakeholders.

-Omo

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--
Omo Oaiya
CTO/Directeur Technique, WACREN
Mobile: +234 808 888 1571 , +221 784 305 224
Skype: kodion
http://www.wacren.net

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