I think it is time to share this idea with the world :-)
The idea is to estimate bias and variance to calculate the best combination of UCT and RAVE values.
I have attached a pdf explaining the new formula.

It is written in the pdf file that the formula is the one in MoGo;
but in MoGo there's no sqrt(log...), i.e. c_r=c_u=0.

Olivier
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