>> http://dcook.org/compgo/article_the_problem_with_random_playouts.html
> I admit not reading this thread carefully enough to understand what the
> argument is about. So I just contribute with following statement:
> 
> Positions like this are very easy to handle for MCTS based programs that
> uses heavy playouts.

Thanks Terry for making the SGF.

My point with the position is that random playouts handle this position
poorly, because though white is ahead his position is more fragile. I.e.
when black attacks either corner white usually needs to reply. But,
being random, and with more tenuki moves than response moves to choose
from, it will choose to tenuki. More times than not some white stones
will die and so the position ends up being reported as good for black.

Of course MCTS, within a few hundred playouts, will discover white
shouldn't tenuki . But when this position is found 20 ply deep in the
tree it will only receive a few playouts, so bad information is being
passed up the tree. The point of the whole article was that these
unbalanced positions are rare in games between weak players but dominate
 games between strong players (i.e. play is on the knife's edge).

I see Gunnar pointed out a similar conclusion elsewhere in this thread
(quoted below).

For the given position very simple move-weighting rules such as: "when
the last move ataried something, try and capture one of its neighbouring
chains" will cope with two out of black's three attacks in the
bottom-right, and a similar proportion in the upper-left. Even just
weighting moves near the opponent's last move would be enough here I think.

So, the interesting (and difficult) question is: how heavy is good enough?

Darren

Gunnar wrote:
"That's why uniform simulations are badly biased; solidly connected
stones almost always win against more loosely connected but perfectly
sound formations, causing the program to play very heavy and
inefficiently."


-- 
Darren Cook, Software Researcher/Developer
http://dcook.org/mlsn/ (English-Japanese-German-Chinese-Arabic
                        open source dictionary/semantic network)
http://dcook.org/work/ (About me and my work)
http://dcook.org/blogs.html (My blogs and articles)
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