-Caveat Lector-
flw wrote:
>
> -Caveat Lector-
>
> > Here's what I see happening. The special forces will kill off the leadership
> > of all the terrorist groups possibly including Arafat. They will disarm all
> > the militias and remove the secretly stored illegal weapons they have
> > accumulated for war. If the other Arab states start making war noises, the
> > Israelis will go to conventional war with Egypt, and Syria. They might enter
> > Jordan and Lebanon too, but won't necessarily have to fight them.
> >
> > It is also a possibility that Israel will take the war to Iraq and Iran,
> > depending on what secret weaponry they have cooking.
> > J2
>
> This is delusional. However this type of thinking is a good example
> of why war happens and the human capacity to indulge in self deception.
> Anyone who thinks Irrational Racialist Nationalism was / is somehow distinct
> to German Society should ponder the above.
>
> A belief in elite troops; a belief in national superiority and disdain for alleged
> weak neighbors; grandiose war schemes; a belief in "secret weapons"....
> where have we heard this before???
> flw
Dilusional am I?
Palestinians' arsenal now includes Katyusha rockets
http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribune/Archive-2001/me-israel-03-28.html
Special to World Tribune.com
MIDDLE EAST NEWSLINE
Wednesday, March 28, 2001
TEL AVIV - Authorities are bracing for Palestinian rocket attacks on
Israeli
cities.
Officials said the prospect that the Palestinian Authority would fire
rockets at Israeli cities is being discussed in both the military and
security forces. They said the current PA mortar attacks on Jewish
settlements in the Gaza Strip appear to mark a prelude to an attack on
Israeli cities.
"If we suspected a year ago that the Palestinian Authority has Katyushas,
we
are now sure of this," a security source said.
"The PA also has plenty of mortars that can strike Israeli cities from
Palestinian areas," he added. <snip>
===============
Syria construction near Golan seen as preparations for attack
Special to World Tribune.com
MIDDLE EAST NEWSLINE
Friday, April 6, 2001
http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribune/Archive-2001/me-syria-04-06.html
TEL AVIV - Syria is believed to be bolstering military positions
along the ceasefire line with Israel in the Golan Heights.
Israeli military sources said the Syrian military appears to be
building positions to launch an attack on Israeli defenses in the
Golan, captured by the Jewish state in the 1967 war.
The sources said Israeli reconnaissance has not spotted troop
movement in the Golan. Instead, they said, Syrian contractors have
been building houses and structures in abandoned villages across from
Israeli positions in the Golan Heights.
The Syrian military is believed behind the construction effort.
Israeli sources said the aim could be to deploy Syrian commandos in
the reconstructed villages and employ them in any future offensive
against Israel.
"We know that lots of military operations begin quietly," an Israeli
military source said.
The sources said Israel and the United Nations peacekeepers deployed
along the ceasefire line are monitoring the Syrian construction.
=========================
WHATEVER THE ISRAELIS AND AMERICANS MAY SAY,
THIS IS CIVIL WAR
By Robert Fisk in Ramallah
[The Independent - 11 April 2001]:
It's strange how a war creeps up on you. First you have the warnings
of an "explosion", then the first shootings. Then the first mortars,
the first tank fire, the first rocket attacks. That's how it was in
Lebanon.
And now in 'Palestine'.
=================================
ISRAELIS INVADE PALESTINIAN REFUGEE CAMP
2 killed, dozens of homes razed
By Tracy Wilkinson, Fayed Abu Shammalah
[Los Angeles Times - Thursday, April 12, 2001]
Khan Yunis, Gaza Strip -- Israel plunged deep into
Palestinian-controlled territory early yesterday for the first time
in six months of strife, charging into this refugee camp with tanks
and bulldozers in a raid that exploded into some of the most intense
fighting since the Palestinian uprising began.
snip>
"I ordered the (Israel Defense Forces) to enter into the areas from
which mortars have been fired at us nightly in all directions,"
Defense Minister Binyamin Ben-Eliezer said.
Four more mortars were fired toward other Jewish settlements last night.
Ben-Eliezer insisted that Israel has no interest in reoccupying
Palestinian territory, noting that his troops had withdrawn.
Still, yesterday's raid, and the use of mortars by the Palestinians,
mark a sharp escalation in a cycle of bloodshed that has already
killed more than 450 people. Senior army officers have been urging
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's government to ignore the borders
between Palestinian-ruled territory and Israel if necessary to combat
Palestinian militants.
Uzi Landau, the hawkish internal security minister, called yesterday
for an escalation of such attacks.
"I want to see this operation as the beginning, the very, very tip of
the beginning of this struggle," Landau said. "I will of course
demand that the government pursue a policy of hitting at them all the
time, everywhere, and not just where the mortars are."
============================
snip>
On Monday, Israeli warplanes bombarded a Syrian radar station in Lebanon,
killing at least one Syrian soldier and injuring four others. That was in
retaliation for a strike by the radical Lebanese Shiite movement Hezbollah
on Saturday that left one Israeli soldier dead.
Arafat described Israel's raid on the Syrian military position east of
Beirut as a "serious escalation."
=================
CHILL WIND FROM THE NILE
By Leora Eren Frucht
With Israeli-Egyptian relations at their
lowest ebb in years, Leora Eren Frucht
examines the future of a 'cold peace'
that seems cooler than ever
(Jerusalem Post, April 17) -
Pessah has never been a time to celebrate relations with
Egypt.
But this year, ties between Israel and Egypt are more
strained than they have been in many years.
The Egyptian embassy in Tel Aviv is still without an
ambassador since Cairo sent Mohammed Bassiouny
home in November.
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Prime Minister
Ariel Sharon have yet to exchange a word. And the
Egyptian media is full of particularly virulent depictions
of
Israel and Jews. "Worse even than what we are used to,"
says Israeli ambassador to Egypt Zvi Mazel, who on
Saturday participated in what was his eighth Seder in
Cairo.
"The climate here is not good. Every day there are
dozens of items in the papers that portray not only
Israelis, but all Jews, as thieves, liars and cheats," says
Mazel, speaking from his office in Cairo last week. "The
caricatures are simply evil and bring to mind Der Sturmer
[the rabidly antisemitic Nazi newspaper of the 1930s]."
A typical example was an editorial concerning the
Palestinian intifada that appeared in Tuesday's edition of
al-Akhbar, Egypt's widest-circulation daily (and a paper
closely associated with the government). The editorial
concluded that: "We must remember that the Jews are a
people of fear, treachery, and suspicion; therefore they
cannot prevail for long in an armed conflict."
After the outbreak of the intifada, Israel expected Egypt
to play a role in persuading Palestinian Authority
Chairman Yasser Arafat to quell the violence - especially
after Egypt hosted the Sharm e-Sheikh summit where the
two sides agreed to take steps to stop the fighting.
Instead Foreign Minister Amr Moussa - recently
appointed secretary of the Arab League - has made
comments justifying Palestinian violence. This week in a
meeting with Amr Moussa, US National Security Adviser
Condoleezza Rice took Egypt to task for not doing
enough to rein in the Palestinians, according to reports
received by diplomatic sources in Jerusalem.
===================================
April 22 2001 MIDDLE EAST
Arafat ready to send commandos into conflict zone
http://www.sunday-times.co.uk/news/pages/sti/2001/04/22/stifgnmid03003.html
?
Uzi Mahnaimi, Tel Aviv
More conflict: an injured Palestinian
youth is carried clear of a clash with
Israeli forces. Photograph: Osama Silwadi
THE Palestinians are preparing to deploy an elite Jordanian-trained
commando
unit in their armed struggle against Israel amid growing pessimism over the
chances of resolving a conflict that has claimed nearly 500 lives in seven
months.
News of the plan emerged as Israeli tanks entered the Palestinian-ruled
Gaza
Strip yesterday, destroying a police post near the southern town of Rafah
that Israel claimed was being used as a base to attack its troops. There
were no reports of injuries.
Palestinian sources said Yasser Arafat, the Palestinian leader, appeared to
be waiting for a further deterioration in relations with the Israelis
before
deciding to call on the 300-strong unit.
"It could well depend on [Ariel] Sharon [the Israeli prime minister] and
the
military steps he's planning," said one source.
The commandos, who are under the direct command of Palestinian General
Intelligence Services, were recruited mainly from working-class families on
the West Bank.
After basic training, they were sent to Jordan and paid a monthly wage.
Their officers, meanwhile, were given intelligence training in Egypt.
Tough and disciplined, the commandos, most of whom are in their twenties,
are a stark contrast to ageing members of the quasi-military Tanzim, the
Palestinian militia hitherto thrown into battle against the Israelis.
Until recently they were based near Jericho. Palestinian sources said they
had since been dispersed, apparently because of fear of attack. They are
believed to be armed with portable anti-aircraft missiles concealed in safe
houses that could be used to bring down helicopter-gunships.
Palestinians and Israelis alike voiced fears last week that a further
deterioration in the military situation was unavoidable, given the apparent
refusal of both Sharon and Arafat to order an end to confrontation. Hamas,
the Palestinian extremist group, claimed 100 suicide bombers were ready for
action.
===============================
� 2001 WorldNetDaily.com
By bringing together leaders this week from Hamas, Hezbollah and the
Islamic
Jihad, Iran hopes to reassert its role as a sponsor of radical Palestinian
and Lebanese opposition groups, reports STRATFOR, the leading global
intelligence company.
The move, aimed to advance Iran's influence over the Middle East peace
process, also provides a momentary respite in the run-up to the Iranian
presidential elections. Tehran is aiming first to hinder peace talks over
the
Palestinian uprising in Israel to demonstrate to the Israelis and others
that
it can still wield power and influence in the region.
By acting as a sponsor and coordinator of the Palestinian opposition, Iran
undermines Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat's ability to negotiate peace
with
Israel and, at the same time, improves the effectiveness of militant groups
in attacking Israel, according to STRATFOR.
This week, Iran hosted a two-day international conference in Tehran to
support the Palestinian uprising in Israel. Tehran hopes to isolate Arafat
and assume control over the intifada. In fact, while Arafat is working with
Egypt and Jordan to resume peace talks, Iran has called for the
strengthening
of the uprising.
But Tehran's efforts could prove to be a double-edged sword in the
international community. While publicly forming ties to groups like Hamas,
Hezbollah and the Islamic Jihad will damage Iran's image among some foreign
leaders, others will look to Tehran as an influential third party.
During the conference, Iranian President Mohammad Khatami "stressed the
importance of unity among the combatant groups and told those attending
that
the most important issue in Palestine is strengthening the intifada,"
Iranian
state news agency IRNA reported April 24.
=============================
end part 1.
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