Kontra, You're confusing the distinction between success for the individuals (founders), and the success of the *business*. I'm referring to the latter; the former is irrelevant to what I'm saying with respect to the business model.
Regards Steve 2008/9/23 Kontra <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > What you've seen to-date is conditional success > > > > All FB needs is a SINGLE acquirer to purchase them. Just a single metric: > one company to buy FB. Just like Skype with eBay, MySpace with News Corp, > Bebo with AOL, etc. > > When Google bought YouTube it certainly wasn't profitable in any way and it > had a huge copyright cloud over its head. Chad Hurley and Steve Chen had a > $1.65 billion payday. YouTube STILL isn't profitable and is being sued for > $1 billion. > > You think either Google or the YouTube folks are complaining? You think > Niklas Zennstrom and Janus Friis are worried if Skype is a "fad"? You > really > think Bebo founders are crying over $850 million? (I may think Falco was a > fool to pay that much for Bebo (or Witman for Skype, for that matter), but > that is NOT the point. We're talking about a company's ability to get to > payday, not if the acquirer was prudent. In that metric, whether it is 1998 > or 2008, scale always matters. There are entities always willing to pay for > scale. AND they don't have to use conventional metrics you cited to derive > value out of that scale either. > > You're not going to get scale if your intention is solely to be profitable > (37Signals) but you're not likely to get acquired unless you have scale. So > your ability to get to that big payday is directly proportional to your > ability to scale. FB has scale. You do the math. > > -- > Kontra > http://counternotions.com > ________________________________________________________________ > Welcome to the Interaction Design Association (IxDA)! > To post to this list ....... [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Unsubscribe ................ http://www.ixda.org/unsubscribe > List Guidelines ............ http://www.ixda.org/guidelines > List Help .................. http://www.ixda.org/help > -- ---------------------------------------------- Steve 'Doc' Baty B.Sc (Maths), M.EC, MBA Principal Consultant Meld Consulting M: +61 417 061 292 E: [EMAIL PROTECTED] UX Statistics: http://uxstats.blogspot.com Member, UPA - www.upassoc.org Member, IA Institute - www.iainstitute.org Member, IxDA - www.ixda.org Contributor - UXMatters - www.uxmatters.com ________________________________________________________________ Welcome to the Interaction Design Association (IxDA)! To post to this list ....... [EMAIL PROTECTED] Unsubscribe ................ http://www.ixda.org/unsubscribe List Guidelines ............ http://www.ixda.org/guidelines List Help .................. http://www.ixda.org/help
